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NOTE XVIII. Action in the Passing of Time

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Chapter 18. Action in the Passing of Time 1. Perspective in the Valuation of Time Periods

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Acting man distinguishes the time before satisfaction of a want is attained and the time for which the satisfaction continues.

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Action always aims at the removal of future uneasiness, be it only the future of the impending instant.

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Between the setting in of action and the attainment of the end sought, there always elapses a fraction of time, namely the maturing time, in which the seed sown by the action grows to maturity.

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The most obvious example is provided by agriculture. Between the tilling of the soil and the ripening of the fruit, there passes a considerable period of time.

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Another example is the improvement of the quality of wine by aging.

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In some cases, however, the maturing time is so short that ordinary speech may assert

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that the success appears instantly.

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As far as action requires the employment of labor, it is concerned with the working time.

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The performance of every kind of labor absorbs time.

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In some cases, the working time is so short that people say the performance requires no

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time at all.

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Only in rare cases does a simple, indivisible and non-repeated act suffice to attain the

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end aimed at.

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As a rule, what separates the actor from the goal of his endeavors is more than one step

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only.

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He must make many steps, and every further step to be added to those previously made

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raises anew the question whether or not he should continue marching toward the goal once

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chosen.

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Most goals are so far away that only determined persistence leads to them.

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Persevering action, unflinchingly directed to the end sought, is needed in order to succeed.

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The total expenditure of time required, that is, working time plus maturing time, may be

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called the period of production.

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The period of production is long in some cases, and short in other cases.

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It is sometimes so short that it can be entirely neglected in practice.

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The increment-in-want satisfaction which the attainment of the end brings about is temporarily

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limited.

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The result produced extends services only over a period of time which we may call the

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duration of serviceableness.

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The duration of serviceableness is shorter with some products and longer with other goods,

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which are commonly called durable goods.

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Hence acting man must always take into account the period of production and the duration

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of serviceableness of the product.

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In estimating the disutility of a project considered, he is not only concerned with

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the expenditure of material factors and labor required, but also with the period of production.

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In estimating the utility of the expected product, he is concerned with the duration

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of its serviceableness.

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Of course, the more durable a product is, the greater is the amount of services it renders.

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But if these services are not cumulatively available on the same date, but extended piecemeal

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over a certain period of time, the time element, as will be shown, plays a particular role

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in their evaluation.

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It makes a difference whether n units of service are rendered on the same date, or whether

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they are stretched over a period of n days, in such a way that only one unit is available

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daily.

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It is important to realize that the period of production as well as the duration of serviceableness

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are categories of human action and not concepts constructed by philosophers, economists and

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historians as mental tools for their interpretation of events.

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They are essential elements present in every act of reasoning that precedes and directs

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action.

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It is necessary to stress this point because Boehm-Bawerk, to whom economics owes the discovery

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of the role played by the period of production, failed to comprehend the difference.

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Acting man does not look at his condition with the eyes of a historian.

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He is not concerned with how the present situation originated.

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His only concern is to make the best use of the means available today for the best possible

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The Past does not count for him.

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He has at his disposal a definite quantity of material factors of production.

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He does not ask whether these factors are nature-given or the product of production

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processes accomplished in the past.

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It does not matter for him how great a quantity of nature-given, that is, original material

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He values the available means exclusively from the aspect of the services they can render

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him in his endeavors to make future conditions more satisfactory.

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The period of production and the duration of serviceableness are for him categories

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is in planning future action, not concepts of academic retrospection and historical research.

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They play a role insofar as the actor has to choose between periods of production of

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different length, and between the production of more durable and less durable goods.

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Action is not concerned with the future in general, but always with a definite and limited

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Fraction of the Future.

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This fraction is limited on the one side by the instant in which the action must take

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place.

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Where its other end lies depends on the actor's decision and choice.

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There are people who are concerned with only the impending instant.

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There are other people whose provident care stretches far beyond the prospective length

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of their own life.

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He may call the fraction of future time for which the actor in a definite action wants

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to provide in some way and to some extent the period of provision.

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In the same way in which acting man chooses among various kinds of want satisfaction within

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the same fraction of future time, he chooses also between want satisfaction in the nearer

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and in the remoter future.

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Every choice implies also a choice of a period of provision.

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In making up his mind how to employ the various means available for the removal of uneasiness,

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man also determines implicitly the period of provision.

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In the market economy, the demand of the consumers also determines the length of the period of

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provision.

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There are various methods available for a lengthening of the period of provision 1.

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The accumulation of larger stocks of consumers' goods destined for later consumption 2.

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The production of goods which are more durable 3.

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The production of goods requiring a longer period of production 4.

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The choice of methods of production consuming more time for the production of goods which

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could also be produced within a shorter period of production.

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The first two methods do not require any further comment.

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The third and the fourth methods must be scrutinized more closely.

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It is one of the fundamental data of human life and action that the shortest processes

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Processes of production, that is, those with the shortest period of production, do not

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remove felt uneasiness entirely.

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If all those goods which these shortest processes can provide are produced, unsatisfied wants

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remain and incentive to further action is still present.

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As acting man prefers those processes which, other things being equal, produce the products

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In the shortest time, only such processes are left for further action which consume

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more time.

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People embark upon these more time-consuming processes because they value the increment

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in satisfaction expected more highly than the disadvantage of waiting longer for their

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fruits.

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Boehm-Bawerk speaks of the higher productivity of roundabout ways of production requiring

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Requiring More Time It is more appropriate to speak of the higher

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physical productivity of production processes requiring more time.

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The higher productivity of these processes does not always consist in the fact that they

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produce, with the same quantity of factors of production expended, a greater quantity

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of products.

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More often it consists in the fact that they produce products which could not be produced

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at all in shorter periods of production.

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These processes are not roundabout processes.

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They are the shortest and quickest way to the goal chosen.

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If one wants to catch more fish, there is no other method available than the substitution

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of fishing with the aid of nets and canoes, for fishing without the aid of this equipment.

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There is no better, shorter and cheaper method for the production of aspirin known than that

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adopted by the chemical plants.

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If one disregards error and ignorance, there cannot be any doubt about the highest productivity

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and expediency of the processes chosen.

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If people had not considered them the most direct processes, namely those leading by

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by the shortest way to the end sought, they would not have adopted them.

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The lengthening of the period of provision through the mere accumulation of stocks of

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consumers' goods is the outcome of the desire to provide in advance for a longer period

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of time.

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The same is valid for the production of goods, the durability of which is greater in proportion

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to the greater expenditure of factors of production required.

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If the lengthening of durability were not at least proportionate to the increment in

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expenditure needed, it would be more advantageous to increase the quantity of units of a shorter

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durability.

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But if temporally remoter goals are aimed at, lengthening of the period of production

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is a necessary corollary of the venture.

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The end sought cannot be attained in a shorter period of production.

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The postponement of an act of consumption means that the individual prefers the satisfaction

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which later consumption will provide to the satisfaction which immediate consumption could

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provide.

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The choice of a longer period of production means that the actor values the product of

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the process bearing fruit only at a later date more highly than the products which a

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process consuming less time could provide.

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In such deliberations and the resulting choices, the period of production appears as waiting

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time.

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It was the great contribution of Jevons and Boehm-Bawerk to have shown the role played

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by taking account of waiting time.

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If acting men were not to pay heed to the length of the waiting time, they would never

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say that a goal is temporally so distant that one cannot consider aiming at it.

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with the alternative of choosing between two processes of production which render different

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output with the same input, they would always prefer that process which renders the greater

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quantity of the same products or better products in the same quantity, even if this result

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could be attained only by lengthening the period of production.

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Preference in input, which result in a more than proportionate increase in the product's

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duration of serviceableness, would unconditionally be deemed advantageous.

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The fact that men do not act in this way evidences that they value fractions of time of the same

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length in a different way, according as they are nearer or remoter from the instant of

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the actor's decision.

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Other things being equal, satisfaction in a nearer period of the future is preferred

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to satisfaction in a more distant period.

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Disutility is seen in waiting.

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This fact is already implied in the statement stressed in the opening of this chapter that

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man distinguishes the time before satisfaction is attained and the time for the duration

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of which there is satisfaction.

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If any role at all is played by the time element in human life, there cannot be any question

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of equal valuation of nearer and remoter periods of the same length.

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Such an equal valuation would mean that people do not care whether success is attained sooner

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or later.

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It would be tantamount to a complete elimination of the time element from the process of valuation.

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The mere fact that goods with a longer duration of serviceableness are valued more highly

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than those with a shorter duration does not yet in itself imply a consideration of time.

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A roof that can protect a house against the weather during a period of ten years is more

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valuable than a roof which renders this service only for a period of five years.

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The quantity of service rendered is different in both cases, but the question which we have

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to deal with is whether or not an actor, in making his choices, attaches to a service

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to be available in a later period of the future the same value he attaches to a service available

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at an earlier period.

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2.

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Time preference as an essential requisite of action.

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The answer to this question is that acting man does not appraise time periods merely

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with regard to their dimension.

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His choices regarding the removal of future uneasiness are directed by the categories

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sooner and later.

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Time for man is not a homogeneous substance of which only length counts.

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It is not a more or a less in dimension.

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It is an irreversible flux, the fractions of which appear in different perspective according

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to whether they are nearer to or remoter from the instant of valuation and decision.

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Satisfaction of a want in the nearer future is, other things being equal, preferred to

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that in the farther distant future.

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Present goods are more valuable than future goods.

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Time preference is a categorical requisite of human action.

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No mode of action can be thought of in which satisfaction within a nearer period of the

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future is not, other things being equal, preferred to that in a later period.

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The very act of gratifying a desire implies that gratification at the present instant

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is preferred to that at a later instant.

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He who consumes a non-perishable good instead of postponing consumption for an indefinite

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later moment thereby reveals a higher valuation of present satisfaction as compared with later

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satisfaction.

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If he were not to prefer satisfaction in a nearer period of the future to that in a remoter

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period he would never consume and so satisfy once.

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He would always accumulate.

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He would never consume and enjoy.

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He would not consume today, but he would not consume tomorrow either, as the morrow would

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confront him with the same alternative.

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Not only the first step toward want satisfaction, but also any further step is guided by time

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preference.

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Once the desire A, to which the scale of values assigns the rank 1, is satisfied, one must

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choose between the desire B, to which the rank 2 is assigned, and C, that desire of

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tomorrow, to which, in the absence of time preference, the rank 1 would have been assigned.

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If B is preferred to C, the choice clearly involves time preference.

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Proposive striving after want satisfaction must needs be guided by a preference for satisfaction

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in the Nearer Future over that in a Remoter Future.

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The conditions under which modern man of the capitalist West must act are different from

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those under which his primitive ancestors lived and acted.

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As a result of the providential care of our forebears, we have at our disposal an ample

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stock of intermediate products, capital goods or produced factors of production, and of

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of Consumers' Goods.

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Our activities are designed for a longer period of provision, because we are the lucky heirs

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of a past which has lengthened, step by step, the period of provision, and has bequeathed

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to us the means to expand the waiting period.

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In acting, we are concerned with longer periods, and are aiming at an even satisfaction in

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in all parts of the period chosen as the period of provision.

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We are in a position to rely upon a continuing influx of consumers' goods, and have at our

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disposal not only stocks of goods ready for consumption, but also stocks of producers'

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goods, out of which our continuous efforts again and again make new consumers' goods

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mature.

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In our dealing with this increasing stream of income, says the superficial observer,

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there is no heed paid to any considerations related to a different valuation of present

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and of future goods.

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We synchronize, he asserts, and thus the time element loses any importance for the conduct

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of affairs.

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It is therefore pointless, he continues, in the interpretation of modern conditions to

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to resort to time preference.

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The fundamental error involved in this popular objection is caused, like so many other errors,

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by a lamentable misapprehension of the imaginary construction of the evenly rotating economy.

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In the frame of this imaginary construction, no change occurs.

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There prevails an unvarying course of all affairs.

232
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In the evenly rotating economy, consequently, nothing is altered in the allocation of goods

233
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for the satisfaction of wants in nearer and in remoter periods of the future.

234
00:20:44.460 --> 00:20:50.840
No one plans any change, because, according to our assumptions, the prevailing allocation

235
00:20:50.840 --> 00:20:57.320
best serves him, and because he does not believe that any possible rearrangement could improve

236
00:20:57.320 --> 00:20:59.420
his condition.

237
00:20:59.420 --> 00:21:05.140
So one wants to increase his consumption in a nearer period of the future, at the expense

238
00:21:05.140 --> 00:21:11.260
of his consumption in a more distant period, or vice versa, because the existing mode of

239
00:21:11.260 --> 00:21:18.120
allocation pleases him better than any other thinkable and feasible mode.

240
00:21:18.120 --> 00:21:24.220
The praxeological distinction between capital and income is a category of thought based

241
00:21:24.220 --> 00:21:31.180
on a Different Valuation of Want Satisfaction in Various Periods of the Future.

242
00:21:31.180 --> 00:21:37.180
In the imaginary construction of the evenly rotating economy, it is implied that the whole

243
00:21:37.180 --> 00:21:45.980
income, but not more than the income, is consumed, and that therefore the capital remains unchanged.

244
00:21:45.980 --> 00:21:51.380
An equilibrium is reached in the allocation of goods for want satisfaction in different

245
00:21:51.380 --> 00:21:53.980
periods of the future.

246
00:21:53.980 --> 00:21:59.120
It is permissible to describe this state of affairs by asserting that nobody wants to

247
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consume tomorrow's income today.

248
00:22:02.940 --> 00:22:09.780
We have precisely designed the imaginary construction of the evenly rotating economy in such a way

249
00:22:09.780 --> 00:22:13.580
as to make it fit just this condition.

250
00:22:13.580 --> 00:22:19.380
But it is necessary to realize that we can assert with the same apodictic assurance that

251
00:22:19.380 --> 00:22:25.560
And in the evenly rotating economy, nobody wants to have more of any commodity than he

252
00:22:25.560 --> 00:22:27.920
really has.

253
00:22:27.920 --> 00:22:33.960
These statements are true with regard to the evenly rotating economy because they are implied

254
00:22:33.960 --> 00:22:38.000
in our definition of this imaginary construction.

255
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They are nonsensical when asserted with regard to a changing economy, which alone is real.

256
00:22:45.160 --> 00:22:50.900
As soon as a change in the data occurs, the individuals are faced anew with the necessity

257
00:22:50.900 --> 00:22:58.160
of choosing both between various modes of want satisfaction in the same period and between

258
00:22:58.160 --> 00:23:02.100
want satisfaction in different periods.

259
00:23:02.100 --> 00:23:10.020
An increment can be either employed for immediate consumption or invested for further production.

260
00:23:10.020 --> 00:23:15.900
No matter how the actors employ it, their choice must needs be the result of a weighing

261
00:23:15.900 --> 00:23:22.900
of the advantages expected from one's satisfaction in different periods of the future.

262
00:23:22.900 --> 00:23:28.960
In the world of reality, in the living and changing universe, each individual in each

263
00:23:28.960 --> 00:23:36.180
of his actions is forced to choose between satisfaction in various periods of time.

264
00:23:36.180 --> 00:23:43.400
Some people consume all that they earn, others consume a part of their capital, others save

265
00:23:43.400 --> 00:23:46.400
a part of their income.

266
00:23:46.400 --> 00:23:52.400
Those contesting the universal validity of time preference fail to explain why a man

267
00:23:52.400 --> 00:24:00.680
does not always invest a sum of $100 available today, although these $100 would increase

268
00:24:00.680 --> 00:24:04.680
to $104 within a year's time.

269
00:24:04.680 --> 00:24:11.720
It is obvious that this man in consuming this sum today is determined by a judgment of value

270
00:24:11.720 --> 00:24:19.880
which values 100 present dollars higher than 104 dollars available a year later.

271
00:24:19.880 --> 00:24:26.360
But even in case he chooses to invest these 100 dollars, the meaning is not that he prefers

272
00:24:26.360 --> 00:24:30.800
satisfaction in a later period to that of today.

273
00:24:30.800 --> 00:24:39.080
It means that he values $100 today less than $104 a year later.

274
00:24:39.080 --> 00:24:45.680
Every penny spent today is precisely under the conditions of a capitalist economy in which

275
00:24:45.680 --> 00:24:52.740
institutions make it possible to invest even the smallest sums, a proof of the higher valuation

276
00:24:52.740 --> 00:24:58.920
of present satisfaction as compared with later satisfaction.

277
00:24:58.920 --> 00:25:03.920
The theorem of time preference must be demonstrated in a double way.

278
00:25:03.920 --> 00:25:10.600
First, for the case of plain saving, in which people must choose between the immediate consumption

279
00:25:10.600 --> 00:25:15.880
of a quantity of goods and the later consumption of the same quantity.

280
00:25:15.880 --> 00:25:21.800
Second, for the case of capitalist saving, in which the choice is to be made between

281
00:25:21.800 --> 00:25:27.480
the immediate consumption of a quantity of goods and the later consumption either of

282
00:25:27.480 --> 00:25:33.840
of a greater quantity or of goods which are fit to provide a satisfaction which, except

283
00:25:33.840 --> 00:25:38.320
for the difference in time, is valued more highly.

284
00:25:38.320 --> 00:25:41.780
The proof has been given for both cases.

285
00:25:41.780 --> 00:25:45.080
No other case is thinkable.

286
00:25:45.080 --> 00:25:52.040
It is possible to search for a psychological understanding of the problem of time preference.

287
00:25:52.040 --> 00:25:57.800
Existence and the pains caused by waiting are certainly psychological phenomena.

288
00:25:57.800 --> 00:26:03.860
One may approach their elucidation by referring to the temporal limitations of human life,

289
00:26:03.860 --> 00:26:09.480
to the individuals coming into existence, his growth and maturing, and his inevitable

290
00:26:09.480 --> 00:26:12.700
decay and passing away.

291
00:26:12.700 --> 00:26:18.800
There is in the course of man's life a right moment for everything, as well as a too early

292
00:26:18.800 --> 00:26:20.600
and a too late.

293
00:26:20.600 --> 00:26:27.560
However, the praxeological problem is in no way related to psychological issues.

294
00:26:27.560 --> 00:26:31.700
We must conceive, not merely understand.

295
00:26:31.700 --> 00:26:37.720
We must conceive that a man who does not prefer satisfaction within a nearer period of the

296
00:26:37.720 --> 00:26:45.680
future to that in a remoter period would never achieve consumption and enjoyment at all.

297
00:26:45.680 --> 00:26:51.160
Neither must the praxeological problem be confused with the physiological.

298
00:26:51.160 --> 00:26:56.920
He who wants to live to see the later day must first of all care for the preservation

299
00:26:56.920 --> 00:27:01.080
of his life in the intermediate period.

300
00:27:01.080 --> 00:27:06.200
Survival and appeasement of vital needs are thus requirements for the satisfaction of

301
00:27:06.200 --> 00:27:09.740
any wants in the remote or future.

302
00:27:09.740 --> 00:27:15.700
This makes us understand why, in all those situations in which bare life, in the strict

303
00:27:15.700 --> 00:27:21.660
sense of the term, is at stake, satisfaction in the nearer future is preferred to that

304
00:27:21.660 --> 00:27:23.940
in later periods.

305
00:27:23.940 --> 00:27:30.360
But we are dealing with action as such, not with the motives directing its course.

306
00:27:30.360 --> 00:27:37.020
In the same way in which, as economists, we do not ask why albumin, carbohydrates and

307
00:27:37.020 --> 00:27:43.940
and FAT are demanded by man, we do not inquire why the satisfaction of vital needs appears

308
00:27:43.940 --> 00:27:48.020
imperative and does not brook any delay.

309
00:27:48.020 --> 00:27:54.900
We must conceive that consumption and enjoyment of any kind presuppose a preference for present

310
00:27:54.900 --> 00:27:58.460
satisfaction to later satisfaction.

311
00:27:58.460 --> 00:28:04.260
The knowledge provided by this insight far exceeds the orbit for which the psychological

312
00:28:04.260 --> 00:28:11.620
All facts concerned provide explanation. It refers to every kind of want-satisfaction,

313
00:28:11.620 --> 00:28:17.840
not only to the satisfaction of the vital necessities of mere survival. It is important

314
00:28:17.840 --> 00:28:25.340
to stress this point because the term supply of subsistence available for advances of subsistence,

315
00:28:25.340 --> 00:28:32.600
as used by Boehm-Bawerk, can easily be misinterpreted. It is certainly one of the tasks of this

316
00:28:32.600 --> 00:28:38.260
is stocked to provide the means for a satisfaction of the bare necessities of life, and thus

317
00:28:38.260 --> 00:28:40.640
to secure survival.

318
00:28:40.640 --> 00:28:46.880
But besides, it must be large enough to satisfy, beyond the requirements of necessary maintenance

319
00:28:46.880 --> 00:28:53.520
for the waiting time, all those wants and desires which, apart from mere survival, are

320
00:28:53.520 --> 00:28:58.480
considered more urgent than the harvesting of the physically more abundant fruits of

321
00:28:58.480 --> 00:29:02.860
of Production Processes, Consuming More Time.

322
00:29:02.860 --> 00:29:08.680
Boehm-Bawerk declared that every lengthening of the period of production depends on the

323
00:29:08.680 --> 00:29:14.460
condition that a sufficient quantity of present goods is available to make it possible to

324
00:29:14.460 --> 00:29:20.620
over-bridge the lengthened average interval between the starting of preparatory work and

325
00:29:20.620 --> 00:29:23.420
the harvesting of its product.

326
00:29:23.420 --> 00:29:28.260
The expression sufficient quantity needs elucidation.

327
00:29:28.260 --> 00:29:33.280
It does not mean a quantity sufficient for necessary sustenance.

328
00:29:33.280 --> 00:29:39.740
The quantity in question must be large enough to secure the satisfaction of all those wants,

329
00:29:39.740 --> 00:29:46.060
the satisfaction of which, during the waiting time, is considered more urgent than the advantages

330
00:29:46.060 --> 00:29:51.900
which a still greater lengthening of the period of production would provide.

331
00:29:51.900 --> 00:29:57.260
If the quantity in question were smaller, a shortening of the period of production would

332
00:29:57.260 --> 00:30:04.160
appear advantageous. The increase in the quantity of products, or the improvement of their quality

333
00:30:04.160 --> 00:30:09.580
to be expected from the preservation of the longer period of production, would no longer

334
00:30:09.580 --> 00:30:15.480
be considered a sufficient remuneration for the restriction of consumption enjoined during

335
00:30:15.480 --> 00:30:22.540
the waiting time. Whether or not the supply of subsistence is sufficient does not depend

336
00:30:22.540 --> 00:30:28.780
and on any physiological or other facts open to objective determination by the methods

337
00:30:28.780 --> 00:30:32.180
of technology and physiology.

338
00:30:32.180 --> 00:30:38.940
The metaphorical term over-bridge, suggesting a body of water, the breadth of which poses

339
00:30:38.940 --> 00:30:44.660
to the bridge-builder an objectively determined task, is misleading.

340
00:30:44.660 --> 00:30:51.100
The quantity in question is valued by men, and their subjective judgments decide whether

341
00:30:51.100 --> 00:30:54.300
or not it is sufficient.

342
00:30:54.300 --> 00:30:59.580
Even in a hypothetical world in which nature provides every man with the means for the

343
00:30:59.580 --> 00:31:05.620
preservation of biological survival in the strict sense of the term, in which the most

344
00:31:05.620 --> 00:31:11.700
important foodstuffs are not scarce and action is not concerned with the provision for bare

345
00:31:11.700 --> 00:31:19.740
life, the phenomenon of time preference would be present and direct all actions.

346
00:31:19.740 --> 00:31:22.980
Time preference is not specifically human.

347
00:31:22.980 --> 00:31:27.780
It is an inherent feature of the behavior of all living things.

348
00:31:27.780 --> 00:31:33.660
The distinction of man consists in the very fact that with him, time preference is not

349
00:31:33.660 --> 00:31:40.060
inexorable, and the lengthening of the period of provision not merely instinctive, as with

350
00:31:40.060 --> 00:31:49.260
certain animals that store food, but the result of a process of valuation.

351
00:31:49.260 --> 00:31:59.300
It seems plausible to assume that the mere fact that interest is graduated in reference

352
00:31:59.300 --> 00:32:05.820
to periods of time should have directed the attention of the economists intent upon developing

353
00:32:05.820 --> 00:32:10.220
a theory of interest upon the role played by time.

354
00:32:10.220 --> 00:32:16.200
However, the classical economists were prevented by their faulty theory of value and their

355
00:32:16.200 --> 00:32:24.000
Their Misconstruction of the Cost Concept from Recognizing the Importance of the Time Element

356
00:32:24.000 --> 00:32:29.960
Economics owes the time preference theory to William Stanley Jevons and its elaboration,

357
00:32:29.960 --> 00:32:37.080
most of all, to Eugen von Boehm-Bawerk. Boehm-Bawerk was the first to formulate correctly the problem

358
00:32:37.080 --> 00:32:43.640
to be solved, the first to unmask the fallacies implied in the productivity theories, and

359
00:32:43.640 --> 00:32:49.920
is the first to stress the role played by the period of production, but he did not entirely

360
00:32:49.920 --> 00:32:55.720
succeed in avoiding the pitfalls in the elucidation of the interest problem.

361
00:32:55.720 --> 00:33:01.160
His demonstration of the universal validity of time preference is inadequate because it

362
00:33:01.160 --> 00:33:04.400
is based on psychological considerations.

363
00:33:04.400 --> 00:33:11.240
However, psychology can never demonstrate the validity of a praxeological theorem.

364
00:33:11.240 --> 00:33:18.600
It may show that some people or many people let themselves be influenced by certain motives.

365
00:33:18.600 --> 00:33:25.800
It can never make evident that all human action is necessarily dominated by a definite categorical

366
00:33:25.800 --> 00:33:32.900
element which, without any exception, is operative in every instance of action.

367
00:33:32.900 --> 00:33:38.360
The second shortcoming of Boehm-Bawerk's reasoning was his misconstruction of the concept

368
00:33:38.360 --> 00:33:41.200
of the period of production.

369
00:33:41.200 --> 00:33:47.800
He was not fully aware of the fact that the period of production is a praxeological category,

370
00:33:47.800 --> 00:33:54.720
and that the role it plays in action consists entirely in the choices acting man makes between

371
00:33:54.720 --> 00:33:58.480
periods of production of different length.

372
00:33:58.480 --> 00:34:03.800
The length of time expended in the past for the production of capital goods available

373
00:34:03.800 --> 00:34:07.280
today does not count at all.

374
00:34:07.280 --> 00:34:14.600
These capital goods are valued only with regard to their usefulness for future want satisfaction.

375
00:34:14.600 --> 00:34:19.200
The average period of production is an empty concept.

376
00:34:19.200 --> 00:34:25.000
What determines action is the fact that in choosing among various ways which can remove

377
00:34:25.000 --> 00:34:32.920
future uneasiness, the length of the waiting time in each case is a necessary element.

378
00:34:32.920 --> 00:34:38.480
It was an outcome of these two errors that Boehm-Bawerk in the elaboration of his theory

379
00:34:38.480 --> 00:34:45.620
did not entirely avoid the productivity approach which he himself had so brilliantly refuted

380
00:34:45.620 --> 00:34:50.640
in his critical history of the doctrines of capital and interest.

381
00:34:50.640 --> 00:34:56.480
These observations do not detract at all from the imperishable merits of Boehm-Bawerk's

382
00:34:56.480 --> 00:34:58.200
contributions.

383
00:34:58.200 --> 00:35:04.480
It was on the foundation laid by him that later economists, foremost among them Newt

384
00:35:04.480 --> 00:35:11.320
Wicksell, Frank Albert Fetter and Irving Fisher, were successful in perfecting the time preference

385
00:35:11.320 --> 00:35:13.460
theory.

386
00:35:13.460 --> 00:35:18.560
It is customary to express the essence of the time preference theory by saying that

387
00:35:18.560 --> 00:35:23.700
there prevails a preference for present over future goods.

388
00:35:23.700 --> 00:35:28.940
In dealing with this mode of expression, some economists have been puzzled by the fact that

389
00:35:28.940 --> 00:35:34.220
in some cases present uses are worth less than future uses.

390
00:35:34.220 --> 00:35:41.220
However, the problem raised by these apparent exceptions is caused merely by a misapprehension

391
00:35:41.220 --> 00:35:44.380
of the true state of affairs.

392
00:35:44.380 --> 00:35:48.980
There are enjoyments which cannot be had at the same time.

393
00:35:48.980 --> 00:35:55.440
A man cannot, on the same evening, attend performances of Carmen and of Hamlet.

394
00:35:55.440 --> 00:36:00.440
In buying a ticket, he must choose between the two performances.

395
00:36:00.440 --> 00:36:06.540
If tickets to both theatres for the same evening are presented to him as a gift, he must likewise

396
00:36:06.540 --> 00:36:08.140
choose.

397
00:36:08.140 --> 00:36:13.980
He may think, with regard to the ticket which he refuses, I don't care for it just now,

398
00:36:13.980 --> 00:36:16.540
or if only it had been later.

399
00:36:16.540 --> 00:36:22.220
However, this does not mean that he prefers future goods to present goods.

400
00:36:22.220 --> 00:36:27.140
He does not have to choose between future goods and present goods.

401
00:36:27.140 --> 00:36:33.780
He must choose between two enjoyments, both of which he cannot have together.

402
00:36:33.780 --> 00:36:37.740
This is the dilemma in every instance of choosing.

403
00:36:37.740 --> 00:36:42.800
In the present state of his affairs he may prefer Hamlet to Carmen.

404
00:36:42.800 --> 00:36:49.100
The different conditions of a later date may possibly result in another decision.

405
00:36:49.100 --> 00:36:54.480
The second seeming exception is presented by the case of perishable goods.

406
00:36:54.480 --> 00:37:00.200
They may be available in abundance in one season of the year and may be scarce in other

407
00:37:00.200 --> 00:37:01.200
seasons.

408
00:37:01.200 --> 00:37:08.160
However, the difference between ice in winter and ice in summer is not that between a present

409
00:37:08.160 --> 00:37:10.520
good and a future good.

410
00:37:10.520 --> 00:37:17.240
It is the difference between a good that loses its specific usefulness even if not consumed,

411
00:37:17.240 --> 00:37:22.500
and another good which requires a different process of production.

412
00:37:22.500 --> 00:37:28.280
Ice available in winter can only be used in summer when subjected to a special process

413
00:37:28.280 --> 00:37:30.540
of conservation.

414
00:37:30.540 --> 00:37:37.540
It is, in respect to ice utilizable in summer, at best one of the complementary factors required

415
00:37:37.540 --> 00:37:39.580
for production.

416
00:37:39.580 --> 00:37:45.540
It is impossible to increase the quantity of ice available in summer simply by restricting

417
00:37:45.540 --> 00:37:48.500
the consumption of ice in winter.

418
00:37:48.500 --> 00:37:54.340
The two things are, for all practical purposes, different commodities.

419
00:37:54.340 --> 00:38:00.420
The case of the miser does not contradict the universal validity of time preference.

420
00:38:00.420 --> 00:38:07.000
The miser, too, in spending some of his means for a scanty livelihood, prefers some amount

421
00:38:37.000 --> 00:38:43.000
The Trade of Undetermined Accidents Which Could Befall Him While Asleep

422
00:38:43.000 --> 00:38:47.000
3. Capital Goods

423
00:38:47.000 --> 00:38:56.000
As soon as those present wants are sated, the satisfaction of which is considered more urgent than any provision for the morrow,

424
00:38:56.000 --> 00:39:03.000
people begin to save a part of the available supply of consumers' goods for later use.

425
00:39:03.000 --> 00:39:08.320
This postponement of consumption makes it possible to direct action toward temporally

426
00:39:08.320 --> 00:39:10.680
remoter ends.

427
00:39:10.680 --> 00:39:16.120
It is now feasible to aim at goals which could not be thought of before on account of the

428
00:39:16.120 --> 00:39:19.960
length of the period of production required.

429
00:39:19.960 --> 00:39:25.400
It is furthermore feasible to choose methods of production in which the output of products

430
00:39:25.400 --> 00:39:32.880
is greater per unit of input than in other methods requiring a shorter period of production.

431
00:39:32.880 --> 00:39:39.480
The sine qua non of any lengthening of the processes of production adopted is saving,

432
00:39:39.480 --> 00:39:45.280
that is, an excess of current production over current consumption.

433
00:39:45.280 --> 00:39:50.880
Saving is the first step on the way toward improvement of material well-being and toward

434
00:39:50.880 --> 00:39:54.720
every further progress on this way.

435
00:39:54.720 --> 00:40:00.720
The postponement of consumption and the accumulation of stocks of consumers' goods destined for

436
00:40:00.720 --> 00:40:06.240
or later consumption would be practiced even in the absence of the stimulus offered by

437
00:40:06.240 --> 00:40:12.920
the technological superiority of processes with a longer period of production.

438
00:40:12.920 --> 00:40:19.340
The higher productivity of such processes, consuming more time, strengthens considerably

439
00:40:19.340 --> 00:40:22.100
the propensity to save.

440
00:40:22.100 --> 00:40:28.520
The sacrifice made by restricting consumption in nearer periods of the future is henceforth

441
00:40:28.520 --> 00:40:35.760
not only counterbalanced by the expectation of consuming the saved goods in remoter periods,

442
00:40:35.760 --> 00:40:42.120
it also opens the way to a more ample supply in the remoter future, and to the attainment

443
00:40:42.120 --> 00:40:47.520
of goods which could not be procured at all without this sacrifice.

444
00:40:47.520 --> 00:40:54.280
If acting man, other conditions being equal, were not to prefer, without exception, consumption

445
00:40:54.280 --> 00:41:14.880
People eager to embark upon processes with a longer period of production must first accumulate,

446
00:41:14.880 --> 00:41:21.200
by means of saving, that quantity of consumers' goods which is needed to satisfy, during the

447
00:41:21.200 --> 00:41:27.360
and the Waiting Time, all those wants the satisfaction of which they consider more urgent

448
00:41:27.360 --> 00:41:34.560
than the increment in well-being expected from the more time-consuming process.

449
00:41:34.560 --> 00:41:40.380
Accumulation of capital begins with the formation of stocks of consumers' goods, the consumption

450
00:41:40.380 --> 00:41:44.100
of which is postponed for later days.

451
00:41:44.100 --> 00:41:50.540
If these surpluses are merely stored and kept for later consumption, they are simply wealth,

452
00:41:50.540 --> 00:41:55.720
or, more precisely, a reserve for rainy days and emergencies.

453
00:41:55.720 --> 00:41:59.360
They remain outside the orbit of production.

454
00:41:59.360 --> 00:42:06.560
They become integrated economically, not physically, into production activities only when employed

455
00:42:06.560 --> 00:42:13.520
as means of subsistence of workers engaged in more time-consuming processes.

456
00:42:13.520 --> 00:42:17.800
If expended in this way, they are physically consumed.

457
00:42:17.800 --> 00:42:24.140
But economically, they do not disappear. They are replaced first by the intermediary products

458
00:42:24.140 --> 00:42:30.860
of a process with a longer period of production, and then, later, by the consumer's goods which

459
00:42:30.860 --> 00:42:38.020
are the final product of these processes. All these ventures and processes are intellectually

460
00:42:38.020 --> 00:42:45.020
controlled by capital accounting, the acme of economic calculation in monetary terms.

461
00:42:45.020 --> 00:42:58.020
Without the aid of monetary calculation, men could not even learn whether, apart from the length of the period of production, a definite process promises a higher productivity than another.

462
00:42:58.020 --> 00:43:07.020
The expenditures required by various processes cannot be weighed against one another without the aid of monetary terms.

463
00:43:07.020 --> 00:43:14.020
Capital accounting starts with the market prices of the capital goods available for further production.

464
00:43:14.020 --> 00:43:18.620
Production, the sum of which it calls capital.

465
00:43:18.620 --> 00:43:24.980
It records every expenditure from this fund and the price of all incoming items induced

466
00:43:24.980 --> 00:43:27.180
by such expenditure.

467
00:43:27.180 --> 00:43:32.980
It establishes finally the ultimate outcome of all these transformations in the composition

468
00:43:32.980 --> 00:43:39.500
of the capital, and thereby the success or the failure of the whole process.

469
00:43:39.500 --> 00:43:47.240
It shows not only the final result, it mirrors also every one of its intermediary stages.

470
00:43:47.240 --> 00:43:53.380
It produces interim balances for every day such a balance may be required, and statements

471
00:43:53.380 --> 00:43:58.700
of profit and loss for every part or stage of the process.

472
00:43:58.700 --> 00:44:04.580
It is the indispensable compass of production in the market economy.

473
00:44:04.580 --> 00:44:11.220
In the market economy, production is a continuous, never-ending pursuit, split up into an immense

474
00:44:11.220 --> 00:44:14.880
variety of partial processes.

475
00:44:14.880 --> 00:44:22.500
Innumerable processes of production with different periods of production are in progress simultaneously.

476
00:44:22.500 --> 00:44:28.580
They complement one another, and at the same time are in rivalry with one another in competing

477
00:44:28.580 --> 00:44:31.540
for scarce factors of production.

478
00:44:31.540 --> 00:44:41.540
Continuously, either new capital is accumulated by saving, or previously accumulated capital is eaten up by overconsumption.

479
00:44:41.540 --> 00:44:52.540
Production is distributed among numerous individual plants, farms, workshops and enterprises, each of which serves only limited purposes.

480
00:44:52.540 --> 00:45:02.040
The intermediary products or capital goods, the produced factors of further production, change hands in the course of events.

481
00:45:02.040 --> 00:45:10.040
They pass from one plant to another until finally the consumer's goods reach those who use and enjoy them.

482
00:45:10.040 --> 00:45:14.540
The social process of production never stops.

483
00:45:14.540 --> 00:45:19.040
At each instant, numberless processes are in progress,

484
00:45:19.040 --> 00:45:31.980
Every single performance in this ceaseless pursuit of wealth production is based upon

485
00:45:31.980 --> 00:45:37.060
the saving and the preparatory work of earlier generations.

486
00:45:37.060 --> 00:45:42.380
We are the lucky heirs of our fathers and forefathers, whose saving has accumulated

487
00:45:42.380 --> 00:45:47.400
the capital goods with the aid of which we are working today.

488
00:45:47.400 --> 00:45:53.800
We favorite children of the age of electricity still derive advantage from the original saving

489
00:45:53.800 --> 00:46:00.100
of the primitive fishermen, who, in producing the first nets and canoes, devoted a part

490
00:46:00.100 --> 00:46:05.040
of their working time to provision for a remoter future.

491
00:46:05.040 --> 00:46:11.140
If the sons of these legendary fishermen had worn out these intermediary products, nets

492
00:46:11.140 --> 00:46:17.280
and canoes, without replacing them by new ones, they would have consumed capital, and

493
00:46:17.280 --> 00:46:23.360
and the process of saving and capital accumulation would have had to start afresh.

494
00:46:23.360 --> 00:46:28.760
We are better off than earlier generations because we are equipped with the capital goods

495
00:46:28.760 --> 00:46:32.120
they have accumulated for us.

496
00:46:32.120 --> 00:46:40.020
The businessman, the acting man, is entirely absorbed in one task only, to take best advantage

497
00:46:40.020 --> 00:46:45.220
of all the means available for the improvement of future conditions.

498
00:46:45.220 --> 00:46:50.660
He does not look at the present state of affairs with the aim of analyzing and comprehending

499
00:46:50.660 --> 00:46:51.740
it.

500
00:46:51.740 --> 00:46:57.500
In classifying the means for further production and appraising their importance, he adopts

501
00:46:57.500 --> 00:47:00.300
superficial rules of thumb.

502
00:47:00.300 --> 00:47:07.460
He distinguishes three classes of factors of production, the nature-given material factors,

503
00:47:07.460 --> 00:47:14.940
the human factor, labor and capital goods, the intermediary factors produced in the past.

504
00:47:14.940 --> 00:47:18.900
He does not analyze the nature of the capital goods.

505
00:47:18.900 --> 00:47:24.300
They are, in his eyes, means of increasing the productivity of labor.

506
00:47:24.300 --> 00:47:29.300
Quite naively, he ascribes to them productive power of their own.

507
00:47:29.300 --> 00:47:33.980
He does not trace their instrumentality back to nature and labor.

508
00:47:33.980 --> 00:47:37.340
He does not ask how they came into existence.

509
00:47:37.340 --> 00:47:43.700
They count only as far as they may contribute to the success of his efforts.

510
00:47:43.700 --> 00:47:48.740
This mode of reasoning is all right for the businessman, but it was a serious mistake

511
00:47:48.740 --> 00:47:54.040
for the economists to agree with the businessman's superficial view.

512
00:47:54.040 --> 00:48:00.780
They erred in classifying capital as an independent factor of production along with the nature-given

513
00:48:00.780 --> 00:48:04.300
material resources and labor.

514
00:48:04.300 --> 00:48:10.360
The capital goods, the factors of further production produced in the past, are not an

515
00:48:10.360 --> 00:48:12.400
independent factor.

516
00:48:12.400 --> 00:48:19.520
They are the joint products of the cooperation of the two original factors, nature and labor,

517
00:48:19.520 --> 00:48:21.360
expended in the past.

518
00:48:21.360 --> 00:48:25.520
They have no productive power of their own.

519
00:48:25.520 --> 00:48:31.380
Neither is it correct to call the capital goods labor and nature stored up.

520
00:48:31.380 --> 00:48:36.960
They are rather labor, nature and time stored up.

521
00:48:36.960 --> 00:48:42.120
The difference between production without the aid of capital goods and that assisted

522
00:48:42.120 --> 00:48:47.280
by the employment of capital goods consists in time.

523
00:48:47.280 --> 00:48:52.180
Capital goods are intermediary stations on the way leading from the very beginning of

524
00:48:52.180 --> 00:48:58.180
production to its final goal, the turning out of consumers' goods.

525
00:48:58.180 --> 00:49:04.340
He who produces with the aid of capital goods enjoys one great advantage over the man who

526
00:49:04.340 --> 00:49:07.000
starts without capital goods.

527
00:49:07.000 --> 00:49:12.180
He is nearer in time to the ultimate goal of his endeavors.

528
00:49:12.180 --> 00:49:17.380
There is no question of an alleged productivity of capital goods.

529
00:49:17.380 --> 00:49:22.820
The difference between the price of a capital good, for example, a machine, and the sum

530
00:49:22.820 --> 00:49:29.420
of the prices of the complementary original factors of production required for its reproduction

531
00:49:29.420 --> 00:49:33.520
is entirely due to the time difference.

532
00:49:33.520 --> 00:49:38.240
He who employs the machine is nearer the goal of production.

533
00:49:38.240 --> 00:49:43.320
The period of production is shorter for him than for a competitor who must start from

534
00:49:43.320 --> 00:49:45.160
the beginning.

535
00:49:45.160 --> 00:49:51.000
In buying a machine, he buys the original factors of production to be expended in its

536
00:49:51.000 --> 00:49:59.640
reproduction plus time, that is, the time by which his period of production is shortened.

537
00:49:59.640 --> 00:50:06.880
The value of time, that is, time preference or the higher valuation of want satisfaction

538
00:50:06.880 --> 00:50:13.620
in nearer periods of the future as against that in remoter periods, is an essential element

539
00:50:13.620 --> 00:50:15.560
in human action.

540
00:50:15.560 --> 00:50:19.660
It determines every choice and every action.

541
00:50:19.660 --> 00:50:25.980
There is no man for whom the difference between sooner and later does not count.

542
00:50:25.980 --> 00:50:33.180
The time element is instrumental in the formation of all prices of all commodities and services.
