WEBVTT

NOTE Introduction to Economics: Part 1

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Okay, to start off, I'd like to get an idea, if you raise your hand, those of you who have taken a course in orthodox, regular college, micro or microeconomics, would you raise your hands?

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Oh, okay. How many here have read, I don't know, Beyond Ball Bay? Just give an idea of how much you've read on Austrian stuff. Certainly less. Okay.

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Okay, I propose to start with, the first theme here is Crusoeconomics, as Mary Lou said, where one of the reasons for this is that we form, I'm new at this thing too, not new at teaching economics, but new in this sort of format, so we're moving our way here.

4
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But to start with a, to show the distinct, one of the things that shows the distinctiveness of Austrian economics is the method by which it develops the system of discipline.

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And this is very different from other economic schools.

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So we start off with Crusoe, Romans of Crusoe landed on this so-called desert island. It's not really a desert.

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I mean, if it was really a desert, he'd probably have died fairly quickly.

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It's an island of resources and so forth, and he has technological knowledge of what I call the things to do.

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So, the first point I think, or theme, is how most of the economic concepts can be developed just by looking at Crusoe vis-a-vis nature.

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In other words, the idea of this thing is to start off very simply with one individual without bringing in other people yet, which makes it, of course, more complicated.

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One individual vis-a-vis nature and what happens.

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So I don't know, I could give a spiel first

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and then have a discussion.

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I'd rather sort of get a feel now

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of what any of you think, start the discussion off.

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What concepts can be approached through this kind of method?

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You start off with Poussard, he's there, it's day one,

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he's been shipwrecked, he's standing there on this island,

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and now what?

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Can we start with more one of those numbers?

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What do you think, what concepts do you think

22
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can be developed, what economic concepts?

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I don't think he's rapidly going to come to a conclusion if he sits there and waits for the welfare state to look after him, he's not going to get very far.

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That's for sure.

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Anything more concrete.

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He's going to get off his ass and start working.

27
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Right, exactly.

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In other words, he's got certain goals he's got to achieve pretty fast, obviously, in this situation.

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He's going to arrange them in hierarchical structure, that's what's most important.

30
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Let's postpone that until we get to Friday to find out what his or her theories are.

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Even if he doesn't own the island, even if he knows, to begin with, the island is wholly owned by somebody else, he would act the same way.

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Because he would want to support himself.

33
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I'd rather just start off on an unknown island.

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That's what it's important to make that. I should point that out.

35
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Okay, so you've got the...

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I don't have a mic.

37
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Friday's just arrived.

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Okay, so he's got certain priorities, as Lisa said. He's got to arrange them in some way.

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And one of the things, or one of the concepts in economics, many, most schools have this.

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Most support orthodox mainstream, what I call orthodox economics.

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It's kind of differently organized, as we'll see later.

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He's got priorities, okay, he's got choices.

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We've got water, food, shelter.

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This part's not broken down.

45
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We've got food being much...

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As you go along, I don't know if you ever saw the movie,

47
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Swiss Family Robinson, which is so much like this.

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A Swiss family named Robinson gets on there,

49
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and they start like this, and after a year or two,

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they've got a whole big thing going on,

51
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boardwalks and gardens and that sort of stuff.

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As you go along, as you get more affluent, your food requirements become more specialized.

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You look for Wheaties or whatever.

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So, like Kusoff, you're only starting off, and then you have this problem.

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And then they're closed, and whatever.

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So you've got this, let's call it economics, a value scale.

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A scale of goals or ends or purposes.

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Now one of the things, by the way, that's sort of interesting,

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When I was first, I teach in a place called Polytechnic Institute in New York where it used to be called Brooklyn Poly.

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And when I first came into the department, you know, the social science department,

61
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they knew I was great, I had these crazy ideas, bitterly opposed to laissez-faire and so forth and so on.

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This was a department of half Marxists and half liberals.

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So they had me give a lecture and I started off with goals and ends and means and that sort of stuff,

64
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so the basic axioms of Austrian economics.

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They fought this bitterly step-by-step. They refused to admit that people had goals, for example.

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I think, even though in their daily, in their regular scholarly work, much like their daily life,

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they realized that people have goals and they act on them and so forth and so on,

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but they were scared stiff that they've conceded one point that they have to line up a laissez-faire.

69
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Which Ludwig did they have to?

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That's right. They're sort of senseless.

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So it's really weird and hard to sit there for an hour and a half and argue if people have motives or goals or not.

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Anyway, it's...

73
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Okay, so they've got... they've got... they've got goals.

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And of course, by saying this, we're also assuming that people have goals, they have choices, they can do something about it.

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Which is the Austrian concept of action.

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Okay, so the whole concept of action comes right in here.

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That people act.

78
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And that they...

79
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And in order to act, you have to have goals or purposes or ends in mind.

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One of the things that will go along here is that one of the problems which cause confusion in economics is linguistic or semantic, the sort of words that are used are historical reasons for it.

81
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As people start, for example, economics began, well, it didn't really begin, but systematically began in the early 19th century England with agricultural.

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So a lot of the words are agriculturally based, we have a different language now, so it's a little difficult, we'll see if we can go on.

83
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For various reasons, this value is preferable, it's called economic utility.

84
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So this already causes confusion, because most people, when you think of utility, think of something which is useful.

85
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And this is not what we're talking about.

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We're talking about the subject of valuations on the part of CUSO, in this case.

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So in the value scale, or in the utility scale, you see the confusion that can come in in critics of the market, for example.

88
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People like Gal Braith, or whatever, or Gal Braith by the way, lay at your door here in this country, your responsibility is a good one.

89
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I object.

90
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We've got plenty of problems here.

91
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I never bought his book either.

92
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Does Gal Braith have Gold Braith or Gal Braith?

93
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I hear both ways, Gal Braith.

94
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I don't have to give you any manners.

95
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It's not a vital point.

96
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At any rate, people like him would say, well, these are not certain goods and services which he likes are useful in some kind of objective sense.

97
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There's other things which other people like are not useful.

98
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Then you can have a coral model.

99
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For example, back in the 1950s when he got launched, there were catallacts.

100
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The Marx, those days, had tail fins, if you remember, and there was a big hysteria among people like Albrecht and other left liberals, attacking tail fins was being evil, was being wasteful.

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I wasn't a great tail fin fan myself, I never saw anything wrong with them.

102
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So the point is that utility doesn't mean in economics what somebody says is objectively useful, whatever that's supposed to mean.

103
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It means whatever people is useful to them, what they would like to achieve, what goals they'd like.

104
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whether other people call that wrong, irrational, wasteful or whatever.

105
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Otherwise, utility and economics, and certainly Austrian economics, has a subjective connotation.

106
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It's a subjective valuation of the part of the person, the actor, the individual, the consumer.

107
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Okay, so that doesn't mean there aren't such things objectively useful or not useful.

108
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The point is that the point of economics looks at the point of view of the individual actor.

109
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This, by the way, was always a problem when working with Randians in Austrian economics.

110
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Randian believing in objective values, how can you have a theory of subjective values?

111
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It was a big problem for Randians.

112
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Of course, the answer is that we're not talking about, this is not an ethical course in ethics.

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Economics is not an ethical discipline.

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If you're dealing with ethics, you can say something might be objectively good or bad, useful or not useful.

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Economics analyzes the individual actor as he or she acts, so that the value is the valuation of the part of this person.

116
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In that sense, it's value-free in many objective values.

117
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It's value-free on the part of the economist, in the sense that we're not imposing our values on the individual.

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Let's analyze the situation.

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Another thing about Austrian economics, which I think is unique, is that what we're doing here is we're taking certain common sense facts, such as people act, people have goals and purposes, and basing a discipline on that formal fact without going to the question of what its purposes are, in the case of Crusoe we don't have food and shelter, etc., but basically we don't really care what the purposes of the individual are, the fact that he has certain purposes and goals to achieve, that's all we need from the discipline. So we're not interested in economics,

120
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is what he should be valuing, as I said.

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Or whether he's a nut for doing it or something.

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That's not what he should be eating butter or cornflakes

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or something.

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That's another discipline, aesthetics, ethics,

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whatever you want to call it.

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So that's one of the things which I'm

127
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confused with which come in.

128
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OK, so we're just really beginning with this.

129
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It proves that we have a value scale here.

130
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And we have concept of action.

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Anything else I think I can see as a concept, is applied in action, right, who saw it, okay, he's got, what has he got, he's got, to try to keep away from the actual content, like, you know, I mean, you always have that example of when he shoots deep, gets a bow and arrow or something, or catches fish with a net, basically the idea is what sort of thing, what sort of concepts come in here, what has he got, he's got his own person, he's got himself, and he's got, okay, he's got his, he's only gonna

132
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You've got to achieve his goals by yourself versus nobody else there. He's got to be doing it.

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You've got personal energy.

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And you've got technological knowledge, in a sense.

135
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They're combined, of course, but the point is you can conceptually say you've got technological knowledge.

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Technological, of course, in this case, is not high-tech. I mean, computer programming is not going to do him a lot of good here.

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Technological knowledge of how to catch fish, filling a net, getting a bow and arrow, whittling a stick and all that sort of stuff.

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This is low-tech, but it's tech.

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So he's got a technological knowledge.

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And he's got natural resources. He looks around and sees what's going on.

141
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There's trees, there's berries, you can eat strawberries, there's fish, there's water and so forth.

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and so forth, all these things are nature-given.

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So we've got nature-given resources and natural resources.

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So we're working on any concepts.

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Economic concepts are coming in here.

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Now, again, in economics, for the way, again,

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the semantics is different.

148
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The language was set in the early 19th century, more or less.

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Personal energy is defined as, in economics, labor.

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Now the problem here is the way, for example, and it used to be a big discussion, a controversy in the history of the end of the Jackson period in the United States, the 1830s, were the Jacksonians labor leaders, were they, in some sense, like the press, were they early accessors of the New Deal, semi-Marxists or something?

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They said they were in favor of labor.

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They kept talking about labor all the time.

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Since Marx, most people think of laborer or laborers as being industrial workers,

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as assembly body types, construction workers.

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Labor in the early 19th century, 18th century sense meant anybody who uses personal energy in production,

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in the final production yet.

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Anybody who transforms resources into using personal energy.

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This modern world would mean, not just industrial workers, but the president of the General

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Motor is one of the assembly workers. Anybody who's using personal energy in the production

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process as a laborer. So it's already, see, causes all sorts of problems if you're looking

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at current 20th century terminology in economics, which has 20th century concepts.

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Natural resources is also a similar problem.

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Natural resources are defining how much of the land.

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And again, there's, again, a difference here.

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One is the land includes water, rivers.

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Fish, when the fish are, includes offshore oil at this point.

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It doesn't just mean land in the sense that we're used to it.

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You know, this body of stuff, soil and stuff.

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Now it will include space, get something out of space, include radio frequencies and all that.

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All this is land. Land means nature given.

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So on one hand, it includes much more than we common sense nowadays think of as land.

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On the other hand, it also doesn't include buildings, for example.

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This building is not considered land, technically.

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The building is man-made, so what would be considered land would be the ground underneath the building.

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What about cows and things? Does that mean land?

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That's wild, yeah, I think wild animals.

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Or land.

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Domesticated would be something else.

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I haven't gotten to that yet, what something else is.

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As soon as man enters into the picture and transforms things, then you have something else.

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The land is always there for us, we always have some ground to stand on.

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So land always enters into the picture, but there's also this other, other thing.

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Another thing, anything, more discussion on this, I don't want to keep talking more time.

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Any problem with that? Extra?

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There's a problem with me right now, because I would distinguish between unowned and owned natural resources but I don't see the distinction between

186
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distinguishing between an apple tree and the apples and pears and the piece of land that it grows on, really, I don't really see that.

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No, those actually happen.

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I mean, I see certain reasons for distinguishing but not in a general category.

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Well, apple would be nature-giver.

190
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Not if it's growing, if it's a domestic orchard, it's science-like.

191
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I know what you're going to see in a minute.

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No, at this stage, though, the assumption

193
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is that the island is unowned.

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Yeah, and ownership doesn't even come in the picture yet.

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So it's not.

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We haven't even defined ownership.

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There's only one man on the will.

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That's right.

199
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There's one man.

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That's inclusive.

201
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Right.

202
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Precisely.

203
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So uninhabited.

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So everything that's there is land.

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So everything physical on the island is land.

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And so it's going to get in underneath it.

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Yeah, all that's there.

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The other question I have, and you

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If you haven't put a word opposite technical knowledge yet, or even a certain...

210
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I don't think so. I think we're sticking with that.

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Because I include that with labor.

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In the sense that the old idea of labor was to the executives and so on, our laborers too, the inventors and so on,

213
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and the technical knowledge and the personality cannot really be distinguished and separated.

214
00:17:32.120 --> 00:17:34.120
I think they're both laborers.

215
00:17:34.120 --> 00:17:39.120
I mean, they aren't from a Marxist point of view, I agree, but they should.

216
00:17:39.120 --> 00:17:47.120
The problem is that the things about technological knowledge are different from other resources.

217
00:17:47.120 --> 00:17:51.120
Once you get it, you're going to lose it.

218
00:17:51.120 --> 00:17:56.120
In other words, I wouldn't say it's non-scarce, but once you...

219
00:17:56.120 --> 00:18:01.120
It's not that personal energy is consumed, it's used up in time.

220
00:18:01.120 --> 00:18:03.120
That's true, technical knowledge is not...

221
00:18:03.120 --> 00:18:05.120
Technical knowledge is once you've got it...

222
00:18:05.120 --> 00:18:07.120
Once the recipe is being created, it can be passed on.

223
00:18:07.120 --> 00:18:13.120
Recipe is not the word for it. Mises uses that. It's a little different.

224
00:18:13.120 --> 00:18:17.120
Conceptually, of course, technological knowledge is important.

225
00:18:17.120 --> 00:18:21.120
Growth of it and stuff like that.

226
00:18:21.120 --> 00:18:25.120
Okay, all I was thinking of is these basic categories of economic resources.

227
00:18:25.120 --> 00:18:27.120
The one is land and the other is labor.

228
00:18:27.120 --> 00:18:31.120
And so, technical knowledge, if you're going to split it that way, it would have to go into labor.

229
00:18:31.120 --> 00:18:35.120
Obviously nature doesn't have technological knowledge.

230
00:18:35.120 --> 00:18:41.120
So, I represent something like that.

231
00:18:41.120 --> 00:18:50.120
Okay, another thing, of course, that he finds is this is, I like to start off my classes in microelectronics with what I call the Garden of Eden model.

232
00:18:50.120 --> 00:18:55.120
The Garden of Eden, either mythological or actual, there was super abundance.

233
00:18:55.120 --> 00:18:59.120
In definition, the Garden of Eden is super abundant.

234
00:18:59.120 --> 00:19:04.120
If you want to have a Pepsi trickling down your throat, you wish for it, you snap your fingers, and by God, there it is.

235
00:19:04.120 --> 00:19:10.120
That's the Garden of Eden. There are certain logical problems with the Garden of Eden model.

236
00:19:10.120 --> 00:19:15.120
Supposing what I wish for and what this gentleman wished for were a clash.

237
00:19:15.120 --> 00:19:19.120
But aside from that, by definition, everything is super abundant.

238
00:19:19.120 --> 00:19:23.120
If everything is super abundant, then there's no problem with private property ownership.

239
00:19:23.120 --> 00:19:25.120
Matter of fact, no problem with price or scarcity or anything.

240
00:19:25.120 --> 00:19:29.120
There's no economics, because if you want something, it's there.

241
00:19:29.120 --> 00:19:33.120
If you want a hi-fi set, it's there playing Bach, whatever you want.

242
00:19:33.120 --> 00:19:41.120
So that, presumably, mankind was in the Garden of Eden, in some sense, originally, and was kicked out for various sins and heresies.

243
00:19:41.120 --> 00:19:48.120
So, what Crusoe faces, of course, starker than what we all face, is the world of scarcity.

244
00:19:48.120 --> 00:19:53.120
All things are scarce, all resources, all goods and services, etc.

245
00:19:53.120 --> 00:19:57.120
And because they're scarce, you have to allocate, you have to have the values there.

246
00:19:57.120 --> 00:20:16.120
So he has to do all sorts of stuff, has to allocate his time, has to allocate his energy, has to allocate, has to have priorities, do the first things first, and so on and so on.

247
00:20:16.120 --> 00:20:18.120
So we live in a world of scarcity.

248
00:20:18.120 --> 00:20:26.120
And of course we have less scares, we are more scared to eat less than a slice of croissant obviously, croissant is an extreme scarce problem.

249
00:20:26.120 --> 00:20:33.120
He dies tomorrow if he doesn't get food quickly. We're not in that bad shape obviously, but we still have a world of scarcity.

250
00:20:33.120 --> 00:20:39.120
If things weren't scarce, everything would be free. It would be like wishing for Pepsi and throwing it in our throat.

251
00:20:39.120 --> 00:20:47.120
There are intellectual fashions, I don't want to shock you people, but in an intellectual world our fashion is sort of like ladies hemlines.

252
00:20:47.120 --> 00:20:51.120
Every five years a new gimmick comes out and everybody follows it.

253
00:20:51.120 --> 00:20:58.120
And one of the few benefits of advanced age is you see all these things come and go,

254
00:20:58.120 --> 00:21:02.120
the same junk comes back ten years later and it drops out.

255
00:21:02.120 --> 00:21:05.120
So about ten years ago, during the period of the New Left,

256
00:21:05.120 --> 00:21:08.120
for a couple of years there was a big hue and cry,

257
00:21:08.120 --> 00:21:11.120
not so much among economists, among some New Left economists,

258
00:21:11.120 --> 00:21:41.120
Left Economists, intellectuals, sociologists, people of that ilk, English professors, that we now live in a post-scarcity age, all these things, all this economic stuff about prices and all that, it all was true until 1968, but now this is 1968 by now, we're living in a post-scarcity age and everything is great, we don't need it, all this stuff is now obsolete, so I had a debate one time with a neo-Marxist professor,

259
00:21:41.120 --> 00:21:46.120
The conclusion of all this is you have to have socialism, whatever the problem is.

260
00:21:46.120 --> 00:21:51.120
If you live in a post-gear-to-the-age, therefore it would be total unemployment, then we're going to have social removal, something like that.

261
00:21:51.120 --> 00:21:53.120
It's kind of nonsense, but anyway.

262
00:21:53.120 --> 00:21:57.120
So he was telling me, you're now living in a post-gear-to-the-age, all these economic screws are obsolete.

263
00:21:57.120 --> 00:22:04.120
So I said, look, Professor Averill, if you live in a post-gear-to-the-age, why don't you burn your salary check?

264
00:22:04.120 --> 00:22:07.120
What's the point of having an income?

265
00:22:07.120 --> 00:22:09.120
You know what his answer was? It was unbelievable.

266
00:22:09.120 --> 00:22:15.120
Well, it's because I, too, am brainwashed by the capital, what's that like, capital V says.

267
00:22:15.120 --> 00:22:17.120
It's rough.

268
00:22:17.120 --> 00:22:19.120
Yeah, it's really rough.

269
00:22:19.120 --> 00:22:21.120
It's high.

270
00:22:21.120 --> 00:22:29.120
So, a few years later, the same people were saying, the post-scarcity thing drops out,

271
00:22:29.120 --> 00:22:31.120
the same people were saying, all resources are dying.

272
00:22:31.120 --> 00:22:33.120
Like, in five years, we're not going to have any resources.

273
00:22:33.120 --> 00:22:37.120
And therefore we have to socialize.

274
00:22:37.120 --> 00:22:48.120
Socialism will cure the post-scarcity age, at least that's the thing at the moment, because it won't be in abundance after then.

275
00:22:48.120 --> 00:22:52.120
Right, exactly, it will cure the excess of affluence.

276
00:22:52.120 --> 00:23:01.120
So anyway, we live in a world of scarcity, and as the world progresses, things are less scarce, but still there.

277
00:23:01.120 --> 00:23:12.120
Okay, so that obviously comes in and almost proves out of action. In fact, action is really, you need action because of scarcity, because you haven't achieved your goals yet.

278
00:23:12.120 --> 00:23:25.120
Okay, he's got, he looks around, he's got things to reach the goals, he's got natural resources, he's got personal knowledge, energy, technological knowledge, and these are his resources.

279
00:23:25.120 --> 00:23:36.120
Or means, equal means, to achieve the ends. Resources, means, it's the other way of saying the same thing here.

280
00:23:36.120 --> 00:23:45.120
He's got priorities, he's got goals, he has to achieve them, he has to use these resources and allocate them, hopefully in a proper manner.

281
00:23:45.120 --> 00:23:52.160
OK, another thing is that totalless takes time, right?

282
00:23:52.160 --> 00:23:53.200
Action takes time.

283
00:23:53.200 --> 00:23:56.120
No such thing as acting in a timeless banking.

284
00:23:56.120 --> 00:23:59.320
So each one of these things will take a different amount of time.

285
00:23:59.320 --> 00:24:02.160
We've got to figure out this thing in three hours, six hours, three days,

286
00:24:02.160 --> 00:24:03.440
two weeks.

287
00:24:03.440 --> 00:24:10.560
So time in the picture, one might think that this is kind of self-evident.

288
00:24:10.560 --> 00:24:14.840
But orthodontic economics or mainstream economics,

289
00:24:14.840 --> 00:24:20.840
microeconomics, time washes out, everything is moving around in a timeless universe

290
00:24:20.840 --> 00:24:24.840
there's already a key distinction, there's only a half hour of this thing

291
00:24:24.840 --> 00:24:28.840
a key distinction between Austrian economics and everybody else

292
00:24:28.840 --> 00:24:31.840
namely we incorporate time into the analysis

293
00:24:31.840 --> 00:24:35.840
could you always put time along with those other things on the line?

294
00:24:35.840 --> 00:24:37.840
resources, personal origins?

295
00:24:37.840 --> 00:24:40.840
you have to allocate time, yeah, okay

296
00:24:40.840 --> 00:24:43.840
things move through time, actually takes place through time

297
00:24:43.840 --> 00:25:11.840
And one of the problems is, in fact by the way, if you talk about randies, one of the problems with randies in theory, which is totally tangential, is that randies tend to think that time is unlimited. There's no problem with allocating time.

298
00:25:11.840 --> 00:25:19.360
And they do one career for 20 years, they move on to another career for another 30 years, so on and so on.

299
00:25:19.360 --> 00:25:23.360
There's a certain, there's a timer, sort of, not a problem.

300
00:25:23.360 --> 00:25:24.860
Okay.

301
00:25:24.860 --> 00:25:26.860
Ah, okay.

302
00:25:26.860 --> 00:25:29.860
You must be getting more acutely aware of that than some of us, perhaps.

303
00:25:29.860 --> 00:25:31.660
Yes.

304
00:25:31.660 --> 00:25:33.660
But there's always, I mean, time is always scarce.

305
00:25:33.660 --> 00:25:37.660
And that's the, that's the, anyway.

306
00:25:37.660 --> 00:25:45.500
The, OK, so there's another factor which enters in, which again is a thing which

307
00:25:45.500 --> 00:25:49.020
is Austrian's for everybody else, namely, life is uncertain.

308
00:25:49.020 --> 00:25:51.620
We know things are certain things, we can predict certain things,

309
00:25:51.620 --> 00:25:53.940
but it's uncertain.

310
00:25:53.940 --> 00:25:59.420
Crusoe might be a hurricane tomorrow with a whole stock of fish or something.

311
00:25:59.420 --> 00:26:01.460
Strawberry's going to wipe that.

312
00:26:01.460 --> 00:26:03.820
So we have uncertainty.

313
00:26:07.660 --> 00:26:17.660
So one of the things that again distinguishes the Austrian theory is that the Austrians incorporate uncertainty into the picture and have the analysis at the very beginning.

314
00:26:17.660 --> 00:26:21.660
Life is uncertain. Things can change. We don't have perfect knowledge of the future.

315
00:26:21.660 --> 00:26:27.660
You know, some things, this gives us, we already have deviations within the Austrian movement.

316
00:26:27.660 --> 00:26:31.660
Some Austrians are now going too far, so edging into nihilism.

317
00:26:31.660 --> 00:26:48.660
There's another point of saying that we can't know anything about the future, the future is sort of like a blank wall, we can't predict or forecast anything, which I think is around the bend.

318
00:26:48.660 --> 00:26:56.660
But basically the Austrian view is that there's no certainty of the future.

319
00:26:56.660 --> 00:27:01.300
knows some things, predicts some things, et cetera, et cetera.

320
00:27:01.300 --> 00:27:03.060
In contrast, neoclassical economics

321
00:27:03.060 --> 00:27:06.100
or standard textbook economics, which is essentially

322
00:27:06.100 --> 00:27:09.740
ball-raising at this point, so.

323
00:27:16.700 --> 00:27:20.820
K. L'Homme Wallach, Swiss economist,

324
00:27:20.820 --> 00:27:25.420
wrote in the 1970s, 1880s, his famous work

325
00:27:25.420 --> 00:27:32.940
It was published the same year as, I think, 1873, or something around there, in the early 1870s.

326
00:27:32.940 --> 00:27:42.180
In Lausanne, Switzerland, neglected during his lifetime, I think, properly so myself,

327
00:27:42.180 --> 00:27:47.180
rediscovered by Pareto, who was a brilliant sociologist, a very interesting person anyway,

328
00:27:47.180 --> 00:27:55.820
The Italian credo, which has now become more or less standard microeconomics.

329
00:27:55.820 --> 00:27:58.700
And many will keep referring to this.

330
00:27:58.700 --> 00:28:07.940
And one of the things, which is the inspiration of Eurasians, one of the theories is that everybody's got perfect knowledge.

331
00:28:07.940 --> 00:28:11.700
Perfect knowledge of the present, perfect knowledge of everybody else, perfect knowledge of the future.

332
00:28:11.700 --> 00:28:15.180
There's no uncertainty. There's no time either, of course.

333
00:28:15.180 --> 00:28:29.420
Oh, time, in a sense, drops out, time becomes, let me put it this way, perfect knowledge, perfect certainty.

334
00:28:29.420 --> 00:28:38.080
If you look at it this way, you might think it's little crackers, bunkers, but this is the orthodox mainstream economics at this point.

335
00:28:38.080 --> 00:28:40.080
Perfect certainty.

336
00:28:40.080 --> 00:28:44.160
If you live in a world, so what does this mean? It means a world without change.

337
00:28:44.160 --> 00:28:48.920
We know, or change can be perfectly forecast, which really means without change.

338
00:28:48.920 --> 00:28:53.600
Then time becomes something very different from what human beings are experiencing.

339
00:28:53.600 --> 00:28:58.480
Time becomes an endless round of everybody doing the same things.

340
00:28:58.480 --> 00:29:02.640
Knowledge is frozen. It's like a freeze frame, okay?

341
00:29:02.640 --> 00:29:07.800
If knowledge is frozen, of course everybody gets perfect knowledge eventually, because they don't change.

342
00:29:07.800 --> 00:29:09.480
I think Newland was the picture.

343
00:29:09.480 --> 00:29:14.120
Anyway, this is the world which the Maurasians depict.

344
00:29:14.120 --> 00:29:19.280
And this is why you have all the mathematics, the equations, the diagrams,

345
00:29:19.280 --> 00:29:22.680
because if everything is this, there's no change, there's no uncertainty,

346
00:29:22.680 --> 00:29:26.080
there's the perfect knowledge, everybody's got perfect knowledge, then you can just crack it out.

347
00:29:26.080 --> 00:29:31.400
There's no action. Action really disappears in the Maurasian universe.

348
00:29:31.400 --> 00:29:34.200
We'll get to that, spend some time doing it later.

349
00:29:34.200 --> 00:29:39.600
So this is a very different kind of economics.

350
00:29:39.600 --> 00:29:46.200
OK, uncertainty then means that each individual person,

351
00:29:46.200 --> 00:29:48.640
whoso and everybody else, is an uncertainty bearer.

352
00:29:48.640 --> 00:29:50.680
He's got to meet uncertainty.

353
00:29:50.680 --> 00:29:52.760
And this function of meeting uncertainty,

354
00:29:52.760 --> 00:29:54.840
which we'll explain later on in much more details,

355
00:29:54.840 --> 00:30:03.280
called entrepreneurship, he knows his goals.

356
00:30:03.280 --> 00:30:11.280
He's more or less of a good inventor of the resources, but now he's got to act on it, and by doing that he's got to forecast, hopefully correctly.

357
00:30:11.280 --> 00:30:17.280
He's got to meet conditions and try to achieve them. If he makes too many mistakes, he's dead.

358
00:30:17.280 --> 00:30:23.280
In our case, we make too many mistakes, except for monetary losses.

359
00:30:23.280 --> 00:30:28.600
So this is the Entrepreneur of the Uncertainty Error.

360
00:30:35.960 --> 00:30:40.800
Another thing about Krusso is given the goal,

361
00:30:40.800 --> 00:30:45.560
let's say his goal is getting a gallon of clean water.

362
00:30:45.560 --> 00:30:50.200
Given the goal, he wants to achieve the goal as rapidly as possible.

363
00:30:50.200 --> 00:30:52.000
Follows the definition of action.

364
00:30:52.000 --> 00:30:57.000
If you've got a goal, you'd rather have a gallon of water now than wait two weeks.

365
00:30:57.000 --> 00:31:02.000
So, this immediately brings in the Austrian concept of time preference.

366
00:31:08.000 --> 00:31:11.000
There's a lot of hassle about time preference.

367
00:31:11.000 --> 00:31:16.000
And basically it means, I think properly understood, it's an extremely important concept.

368
00:31:16.000 --> 00:31:21.000
Given the goal, the person prefers getting the goal now than getting it later.

369
00:31:21.000 --> 00:31:23.000
Otherwise, it's not really a bill.

370
00:31:23.000 --> 00:31:28.000
Somebody else is intervening here.

371
00:31:28.000 --> 00:31:30.000
There's also some disputes about that.

372
00:31:30.000 --> 00:31:33.000
A characteristic one is something like this.

373
00:31:33.000 --> 00:31:36.000
It's now the winter.

374
00:31:36.000 --> 00:31:38.000
If you go back to the pre-refrigerator age,

375
00:31:38.000 --> 00:31:42.000
you can use ice, ice boxes.

376
00:31:42.000 --> 00:31:43.000
In the winter, you don't need ice boxes.

377
00:31:43.000 --> 00:31:44.000
You don't need it very much.

378
00:31:44.000 --> 00:31:46.000
You really need it in the summer.

379
00:31:46.000 --> 00:31:49.000
Therefore, if this is December, you'd

380
00:31:49.000 --> 00:31:54.000
You'd prefer getting the ice in July than we're getting it now.

381
00:31:54.000 --> 00:31:57.500
So doesn't this contradict the concept of time preference,

382
00:31:57.500 --> 00:32:00.000
the preferring something now to later?

383
00:32:00.000 --> 00:32:02.500
The answer is it doesn't contradict it because it's not the same problem.

384
00:32:02.500 --> 00:32:06.500
In other words, we're assuming, we're given the goal, we're given the good,

385
00:32:06.500 --> 00:32:14.000
the thing itself, and the resource itself, the object that we're valuing.

386
00:32:14.000 --> 00:32:16.000
We're assuming a homogeneous object.

387
00:32:16.000 --> 00:32:20.080
where they're assuming it's the same serviceability, the same usefulness.

388
00:32:20.080 --> 00:32:23.600
Otherwise, it's a different object.

389
00:32:23.600 --> 00:32:27.080
So that ice in the summer becomes a different good,

390
00:32:27.080 --> 00:32:29.960
even though it's the same physical object, the same cube.

391
00:32:29.960 --> 00:32:31.760
It's a different good in the summer as it is in the winter.

392
00:32:31.760 --> 00:32:32.960
It performs different functions.

393
00:32:32.960 --> 00:32:34.400
It's much more important in the summer.

394
00:32:34.400 --> 00:32:35.640
There's nothing to do with time.

395
00:32:35.640 --> 00:32:38.640
Just let the, it's hotter in the summer, it may need ice more.

396
00:32:38.640 --> 00:32:41.520
So the answer to that is to believe they're two different products.

397
00:32:41.520 --> 00:32:44.560
Given the product, given the good, given the thing in the,

398
00:32:44.560 --> 00:32:49.560
and given the equal usefulness, people prefer getting it now and getting it later.

399
00:32:51.560 --> 00:32:55.560
Surely that's only true if the amount of labor to get it is the same.

400
00:32:55.560 --> 00:32:59.560
I mean, for example, if you've got a choice of either paying something now

401
00:32:59.560 --> 00:33:03.560
or letting someone buy it for you with charge tomorrow,

402
00:33:03.560 --> 00:33:05.560
you don't need it till the day after.

403
00:33:05.560 --> 00:33:10.560
Then, you know, so I think labor, you know,

404
00:33:10.560 --> 00:33:14.560
No, it's the total amount of resources used in time is just a resource of the same.

405
00:33:14.560 --> 00:33:19.560
I'm sure you're balancing the end of a goal with a value scale, what you have to do to get it.

406
00:33:19.560 --> 00:33:21.560
Absolutely, very sure.

407
00:33:21.560 --> 00:33:23.560
It's one of the keys.

408
00:33:23.560 --> 00:33:26.560
People prefer less labor.

409
00:33:26.560 --> 00:33:28.560
Right.

410
00:33:28.560 --> 00:33:30.560
I want it easy.

411
00:33:30.560 --> 00:33:32.560
Right.

412
00:33:34.560 --> 00:33:37.560
Any other comments on Mises?

413
00:33:37.560 --> 00:33:40.560
I'm going to make this into a monologue instead of a temptation.

414
00:33:45.860 --> 00:33:51.560
All right, a good, by the way, we have to define a good, that's important.

415
00:33:51.560 --> 00:33:58.160
It's always a use. A good is a thing, either a commodity or a service, either tangible or intangible,

416
00:33:58.160 --> 00:34:07.260
which consists of an entity, which is valued by somebody, obviously, otherwise not a good.

417
00:34:07.260 --> 00:34:10.020
Either by Crusoe or by us or somebody.

418
00:34:10.020 --> 00:34:21.700
An entity with the system of n homogeneous units.

419
00:34:21.700 --> 00:34:26.900
This is related to the ice problem, let's see.

420
00:34:26.900 --> 00:34:31.420
The n can be anything from 1 up to 100 million.

421
00:34:31.420 --> 00:34:33.500
The idea is that the units have to be homogeneous.

422
00:34:33.500 --> 00:34:36.740
In other words, they're the same.

423
00:34:36.740 --> 00:34:51.740
So if you have a certain grade of paperclips, certain size paperclips, you have a box of 50 paperclips, each paperclip is a unit, or the box is a unit, units can vary, but the idea is that each unit is homogeneous to the other unit, yeah?

424
00:34:51.740 --> 00:35:00.740
Well, Mr. President, your illustration about the ice cream contradicts the idea that anything could be colder than this.

425
00:35:00.740 --> 00:35:11.740
You know, if you've got a kilowatt-hour of electricity at 3.30 in the afternoon on a cold winter day when everybody's watching a football game,

426
00:35:11.740 --> 00:35:17.740
it's quite a different thing from a kilowatt-hour of electricity you say at 2 a.m. in the morning in the springtime.

427
00:35:17.740 --> 00:35:21.740
But it's never the same.

428
00:35:21.740 --> 00:35:24.740
I don't think it's ever the same.

429
00:35:24.740 --> 00:35:28.740
I mean, the ice cube in July will be any given ice cube.

430
00:35:28.740 --> 00:35:30.740
See, the thing is, it's up to the person.

431
00:35:30.740 --> 00:35:33.740
It's up to the individual.

432
00:35:33.740 --> 00:35:34.740
Here I am.

433
00:35:34.740 --> 00:35:35.740
I don't care which block of ice.

434
00:35:35.740 --> 00:35:36.740
Let's say it's the same size.

435
00:35:36.740 --> 00:35:38.740
It's the same hour.

436
00:35:38.740 --> 00:35:40.740
I'm buying a block of ice.

437
00:35:40.740 --> 00:35:43.740
I don't care which block of ice I'm getting.

438
00:35:43.740 --> 00:35:45.740
It's homogeneous to me.

439
00:35:45.740 --> 00:35:48.140
It's physically homogeneous, and it's homogeneous to me.

440
00:35:48.140 --> 00:35:52.460
But you can't tell, you see, as an outside observer, an economist, or a statistician,

441
00:35:52.460 --> 00:35:55.340
you can't really be sure that something's ingenious, because each individual,

442
00:35:55.340 --> 00:35:58.140
different individuals might have different valuations on them.

443
00:35:58.140 --> 00:35:59.540
That's the point.

444
00:35:59.540 --> 00:36:02.700
See, one of the things about Austrian economics is that

445
00:36:02.700 --> 00:36:05.940
it provides very, and one of the reasons why it's not popular among economists

446
00:36:05.940 --> 00:36:09.540
is it provides very little room for economists to do much.

447
00:36:09.540 --> 00:36:14.340
As economists can teach this, can explain the beauty of it,

448
00:36:14.340 --> 00:36:17.140
We can't really, we can't advise government,

449
00:36:17.140 --> 00:36:18.740
there are various reasons to get down to it,

450
00:36:18.740 --> 00:36:21.860
probably still already, but we can't advise businessmen either.

451
00:36:21.860 --> 00:36:24.940
We haven't got really any, there's very little job opportunities

452
00:36:24.940 --> 00:36:28.140
for Austrian economists, except for teaching,

453
00:36:28.140 --> 00:36:29.820
and writing, and whatever.

454
00:36:29.820 --> 00:36:31.660
And so the economist doesn't have that,

455
00:36:31.660 --> 00:36:34.060
the outside observer doesn't have that much of a role,

456
00:36:34.060 --> 00:36:35.700
because you can't really say that,

457
00:36:35.700 --> 00:36:38.260
multi-technical, for example,

458
00:36:38.260 --> 00:36:41.100
and neoclassical economics is totally different,

459
00:36:41.100 --> 00:36:42.860
they say this is the objective unit,

460
00:36:42.860 --> 00:36:43.900
and therefore it's the same.

461
00:36:43.900 --> 00:36:54.900
Good. Let's take, I think John Stuart Mill, and this is, and was classically economist as well as philosopher, lousy philosopher, not too hot on classically economist either.

462
00:36:54.900 --> 00:37:12.900
Anyway, he's a very bright guy, totally screwed up. Mill is looking at the market, he has a concept called economic man, very pernicious concept, and he's looking at the market, he sees that, according to the economic analysis,

463
00:37:12.900 --> 00:37:14.900
Goods tend to have the same price.

464
00:37:14.900 --> 00:37:20.900
We haven't gotten the price yet, but it's pretty clear now that if you have a block of ice,

465
00:37:20.900 --> 00:37:24.900
some of these two people, three or four ice dealers in the same block, let's say,

466
00:37:24.900 --> 00:37:27.900
the prices will tend to be about equal because of those...

467
00:37:27.900 --> 00:37:33.900
Zeke over here is selling ice for, you know, whatever, $50 a pound.

468
00:37:33.900 --> 00:37:36.900
I don't know how you sell ice anymore. $50 a cube.

469
00:37:36.900 --> 00:37:38.900
Somebody else is selling it for $30 a cube.

470
00:37:38.900 --> 00:37:40.900
Zeke is not going to last very long.

471
00:37:40.900 --> 00:37:44.900
I mean, sometimes, you have to lower the price in order to stay in business.

472
00:37:44.900 --> 00:37:49.060
So Miller's observing the world, and he's saying,

473
00:37:49.060 --> 00:37:53.620
well, there are situations where they have different prices for the same good

474
00:37:53.620 --> 00:37:55.140
continue almost permanently.

475
00:37:55.140 --> 00:37:56.180
Therefore, it's irrational.

476
00:37:56.180 --> 00:37:58.820
Every one of these people are non-economic men.

477
00:37:58.820 --> 00:38:02.660
They're wrong, they're whatever.

478
00:38:02.660 --> 00:38:04.580
You mean they're just not following this idea?

479
00:38:04.580 --> 00:38:06.460
Well, yeah.

480
00:38:06.460 --> 00:38:09.260
And the point of it, he was looking at the physical object

481
00:38:09.260 --> 00:38:29.260
There's extensions to it. I mean, the one I used to have to charge more money might give premium delivery service, the other you have to get out. The good is all those things together.

482
00:38:39.260 --> 00:38:44.260
There's a whole bunch of stuff that's involved, which most people don't look at.

483
00:38:44.260 --> 00:38:53.260
For example, New York, they have a very posh restaurant with food tests, probably the poshest in the country.

484
00:38:53.260 --> 00:38:57.260
And they sell ice cream, let's say, let's assume, probably it's not the same ice cream.

485
00:38:57.260 --> 00:39:04.260
Let's assume for a minute, it's the same ice cream as McDonald's or Breyer's or something, a fast food store.

486
00:39:04.260 --> 00:39:08.260
And yet, you know, the test will charge 10 times as much McDonald's for the same ice cream.

487
00:39:08.260 --> 00:39:18.260
And the reason is you're not just buying the ice cream, you're buying the whole ambiance, you're buying the servile waiter, you're buying the expectation of a baby scene, Jackie Onassis at the next table, and stuff like that, because you don't get it at McDonald's.

488
00:39:18.260 --> 00:39:20.260
You're also getting a whole package of chairs up here.

489
00:39:20.260 --> 00:39:22.260
Exactly. Precisely. You're buying a whole package.

490
00:39:22.260 --> 00:39:24.260
A whole bag of ice cream masses.

491
00:39:24.260 --> 00:39:25.260
Precisely.

492
00:39:25.260 --> 00:39:31.260
In that case though, the good is the ice cream, period. That's the only thing that can be defined as a good.

493
00:39:31.260 --> 00:39:33.260
No, no, in this case the good is the whole package.

494
00:39:33.260 --> 00:39:40.260
The reason why it's a different price, and it stays a different price, is you're buying the ice cream plus the whole service, the whole ambiance.

495
00:39:40.260 --> 00:39:41.260
It's a different good.

496
00:39:41.260 --> 00:39:42.260
Yeah.

497
00:39:42.260 --> 00:39:47.260
In other words, the ice cream, even though it might be the same physical ice cream.

498
00:39:47.260 --> 00:39:50.260
It's simply not comparable to what the people hold at all.

499
00:39:50.260 --> 00:39:53.260
I'm just trying to understand this.

500
00:39:53.260 --> 00:39:54.260
Yeah.

501
00:39:54.260 --> 00:39:57.260
Ice cream is a good.

502
00:39:57.260 --> 00:40:05.260
When you add all these other things to where you buy your ice cream, that's also a good, but it's not the same good as just ice cream.

503
00:40:05.260 --> 00:40:12.260
The ice cream is the whole package. I mean, you don't buy the pure ice cream.

504
00:40:12.260 --> 00:40:17.260
You never do. Ice cream themselves never go in the same package.

505
00:40:17.260 --> 00:40:20.260
It's more convenient to assume it's the same good, but everything else washes out.

506
00:40:20.260 --> 00:40:26.260
But then how can this definition have any meaning at all then? Because that's always the case.

507
00:40:26.260 --> 00:40:43.260
Well in fact we're going back to what he was saying about ice cubes. Ice cube in winter is not a lot of value to you because all you do is pretend you're looking outside on the branch instead. But in summer you can't do that. So that's your utility for ice cream.

508
00:40:43.260 --> 00:40:54.360
I don't have any difficulty understanding why things have different values.

509
00:40:54.360 --> 00:40:59.660
I'm trying to understand the definition of good, because that's used all the time.

510
00:40:59.660 --> 00:41:04.660
This implies, when you say an entity consisting of n homogeneous units,

511
00:41:04.660 --> 00:41:09.860
that's supposed to imply that goods are the same in the market, right?

512
00:41:09.860 --> 00:41:12.860
We have ice, and it's ice. Period.

513
00:41:13.860 --> 00:41:18.860
You might say that those glasses of water tomorrow when nobody's here is a different good,

514
00:41:18.860 --> 00:41:22.860
but right now there's seven units of homogeneous supply.

515
00:41:22.860 --> 00:41:27.860
These six glasses, I don't care which glasses I'm taking off, these are homogeneous to me, at least.

516
00:41:27.860 --> 00:41:32.860
If you were to want to nitpick, there's a degree beyond which,

517
00:41:32.860 --> 00:41:37.860
because even the glass that you've got your hand on is closer to you and it is slightly better for you

518
00:41:37.860 --> 00:41:46.860
in the other one that's further away, so there's never, what I'm saying is because they are physically identifiable units, they're never exactly the same.

519
00:41:46.860 --> 00:41:52.860
The thing is in life, the thing is mostly, yeah, in life it washes out, you don't really care about whether it's two inches or six inches.

520
00:41:52.860 --> 00:41:56.860
It's up to the individual again, whether he cares or doesn't care, that's the point.

521
00:41:56.860 --> 00:42:05.860
So I mean, in other words, if you have 5,000 paperclips all the same size in a bowl, you know, I don't care about which paperclips are homogenous, and most people would be homogenous.

522
00:42:05.860 --> 00:42:35.360
I understand that. I'm trying to understand the definition of good, as it's going to relate to our discussion about economics, because in other forms of economics, assume that ice cream is ice cream, and so it should have the same value everywhere, if every person cracked, whereas Austrian...

523
00:42:35.360 --> 00:42:45.360
should recognize that a good in a given transaction is completely different than it can be based on the value judge.

524
00:42:45.360 --> 00:42:52.360
See, the point is, what you're doing is you're diminishing the role of the outside economist, the observer,

525
00:42:52.360 --> 00:42:54.360
who's trying to figure out what's going on.

526
00:42:54.360 --> 00:42:56.360
You're less able to figure out what's going on.

527
00:42:56.360 --> 00:42:58.360
It's going to be a life situation.

528
00:42:58.360 --> 00:43:03.360
So that you can't then say it's irrational.

529
00:43:03.360 --> 00:43:07.040
I see this, I'll give you an example, we had the first Austrian composer, please say.

530
00:43:07.040 --> 00:43:12.080
I was just going to say, maybe the distinction is that you want to describe a good as a physical object.

531
00:43:12.080 --> 00:43:17.480
That's the only way an objective observer can describe it, that's the only way these other economists could appreciate it.

532
00:43:17.480 --> 00:43:19.640
Ice cream is what is in this thing.

533
00:43:19.640 --> 00:43:27.040
While Austrian would say, you are observing the entire, all characteristics of it, all benefits of it, possible in other words,

534
00:43:27.040 --> 00:43:30.280
which is only something you can observe and it's something that no one can observe.

535
00:43:30.280 --> 00:43:33.920
Well, it depends on the individual. See, in most cases, Mel would be right.

536
00:43:33.920 --> 00:43:36.840
In most cases. I mean, empirically. But it doesn't have to be.

537
00:43:36.840 --> 00:43:41.760
Let me give you an example. The first Austrian conference, the first modern Austrian conference outside of old Austria,

538
00:43:41.760 --> 00:43:46.800
the first one in modern time, was held in 1973 at a wild place.

539
00:43:46.800 --> 00:43:51.520
1974. I think it was 1974. Summer of 1974.

540
00:43:51.520 --> 00:43:54.640
A crazy place called Royalton College of Vermont.

541
00:43:54.640 --> 00:44:03.640
It's in southeastern Vermont, it's a place which is more or less of the income and standard living of 1850.

542
00:44:03.640 --> 00:44:13.640
It's got no supermarkets, it's got no movies, it's sort of like a slice out of the happily forgotten past.

543
00:44:13.640 --> 00:44:20.640
The college was a fake college, it was a weird town, it was a college where an entrepreneur was essentially a crook.

544
00:44:20.640 --> 00:44:28.640
So it was a fake holiday, a fake law school, a fake hotel, anyway, it's a hilarious thing to sometimes go into the anecdotes of this ambiance.

545
00:44:28.640 --> 00:44:33.640
So one of the things was that they had two grocery stores, a teeny town with a population of about 400.

546
00:44:33.640 --> 00:44:41.640
It's like a Potemkin village, there's a big village green, or common, and houses on the outside and nothing else beyond them.

547
00:44:41.640 --> 00:44:47.640
So like a Potemkin village in a movie, you have these fake houses, push them and make them fall out.

548
00:44:47.640 --> 00:45:14.640
The two grocery stores, right across the street from each other, they're like 10 feet, and we observe that the prices are totally different, the same product, one store, I don't know, the same cake of soap, charging 50 cents, the other store is 25 or something, so this is getting mind-blowing here, I don't know what's going on, we're supposed to be economists, how do we analyze this?

549
00:45:14.640 --> 00:45:18.640
So somebody found him, he finally found one of the villagers there.

550
00:45:18.640 --> 00:45:24.640
And said, how come this is going on, how come the Zeke's store over here is charging different prices than the Jake's?

551
00:45:24.640 --> 00:45:31.640
So a lot of the things in this town are two groups of people, everybody, there's two groups of people in town, each group hates each other's guts.

552
00:45:31.640 --> 00:45:40.640
One group only goes to the Zeke's, the other group only goes to Jake's, and none of them will cross-compete, and no marginal buyers will shift from one to the other.

553
00:45:40.640 --> 00:45:47.640
That's a non-competing grocery store. Well, so that happens. I mean, it's a little nutty, but I mean, it's far of life.

554
00:45:47.640 --> 00:45:50.640
So usually, the price of the cell will be the same.

555
00:45:50.640 --> 00:45:54.640
In this peculiar situation where everybody's got values where it's Zeke's.

556
00:45:54.640 --> 00:45:59.640
I must go to Zeke's. Going to Zeke's is somehow more important than the actual price of the product.

557
00:45:59.640 --> 00:46:01.640
Then the price is different. So that's what happens.

558
00:46:01.640 --> 00:46:05.640
And generally, it's true, the price of the same thing will be the same.
