WEBVTT

NOTE A Seminar on Money

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I think I have 45 or 50 minutes to talk to you about money.

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This is simply ridiculous, you know, it's impossible.

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Therefore, but on the other hand, you know already something about money, you know, even

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Sometimes there are disagreeable experiences with not sufficient quantities of money.

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And as we mentioned quantities, we approach already one of the problems, perhaps the most

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important problem from the practical point of view, the problem of the quantity of the

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supply of money.

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We are talking in economics about the supply, supply of useful things, supply of useful

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people, and so on, and then we are talking about the supply of money.

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The supply of money is something very different from the supply of other things, you know.

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The supply of shoes, the more shoes are available in the country, the smaller is the number

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of people who must do without shoes.

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And it's the same with most of the other useful things.

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But with money, it is something a little bit different.

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It's not true that the supply of money is something which you have to deal with as the

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supply of other things.

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The supply of money can be seen from the point of view of the whole economic system, it can

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be too large.

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While the individual and the whole society are in perfect agreement with regard to the

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supply of most other things, the problem of supply is not so simple as that when we are

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dealing with money.

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You hear every time I see somewhere printed the word, the supply of money, I have an uneasy

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feeling.

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Because increasing the supply of money in the economic system, the total supply of money

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is something quite different from increasing the supply of commodities.

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Therefore, those books and lectures in which one talks about the supply of money and in

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In which people are discussing the problem that the annual supply of money should be increased by 3% or 5% or some other percentage, these discussions are misleading.

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They are misleading because they are leading directly to one of the most critical problems, to the problem of inflation.

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What does it mean, inflation?

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We know that most of the useful things, most of the useful commodities are not available

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in quantities which would make it possible for everybody to enjoy as much of them as he

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wants.

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And we know that it is a very beneficial thing to be a man who increases the quantity, the

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supply of useful things, whether these are shoes or books or something else, it is always

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The better that the supply should be increased, then the supply should decrease, but with

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money there is something different.

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As we have today a state of affairs in which the governments are in a position to increase

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the supply of money and they are doing it because this increasing of the supply of money

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on the part of one institution, group or factor, while all other factors must be satisfied

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with the money which they are getting on the market, because this increase brings about

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certain problems, let us say, the problem of inflation.

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I could try to deal with the problem from a right general standpoint, beginning with the

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most simple things and proceeding step by step to a system that implies all the essential

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This would not be a job for, I think, 45 minutes, I don't know, perhaps 48 minutes.

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Therefore, I want to start with the most important, practically most important problem, the problem

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of inflation.

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As conditions are, as we have today in most of the countries of the world, almost in all

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of Countries of the World. The Governments are in a position to increase the quantity

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of money and they are making use of this power. The Government, let us say, wants to spend

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People don't pay taxes with great enthusiasm and the government doesn't like a nation

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that has little enthusiasm for the activities of the government.

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And therefore the governments want to find a method of spending which does not burden

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the individuals.

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The governments want to appear as institutions that are giving, while in fact they cannot

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give if they had not first taken away, and taking away by taxes is not very popular.

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And therefore the governments are increasing the quantity of money.

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Let us take the following situation, the typical situation.

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The government wants to spend more than it did spent up to yesterday.

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But it doesn't want to tax more or it simply cannot, by political reasons, it cannot tax

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more.

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It cannot also borrow the money because the conditions under which such a borrowing could

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take place are considered from the point of view as unsatisfactory, but when the government

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does something which is familiar to everybody, the government increases the quantity of money.

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This is a very cheap prospectus in the world in which paper money is legal tender.

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The governments and the writers for the government make fun of the fact that the nations of the

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in the world consider gold as money and they try to say a lot of things against the gold

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standard only that they have no valid arguments against the gold standard because the gold

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The gold standard works like the paper standard of the government works in a way which the

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government itself doesn't consider as satisfactory.

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Let us take the most practical case.

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The government wants to spend more and doesn't want to tax the people.

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The government wants to appear as Santa Claus. This is a very agreeable situation. It is

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a situation which is much more popular than the situation of a tax collector. And therefore

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the government does not tax the people in order to get the money for its new expenditure,

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But it prints it. This is very cheap, very cheap procedure. What happens now? If the government

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had collected the tax, the money it needs for some additional new expenditure, by taxing

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of the People, the taxpayers would have been forced to restrict their spending, their expenditure.

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They had therefore a definite quantity of money, the money which the government has taxed away

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would have disappeared from the hands of the people, of the citizens, and would have reappeared

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in the hands of the government.

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The people who had paid the taxes had been forced to restrict their expenditure, and

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The government has expanded its expenditure. It is not to be expected that the commodities

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which the government would have, which the government wants to distribute, directly or

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and Directly are the same which the citizens would have spent and therefore there appears

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some problems which we cannot deal with because we have only 45 minutes but what we have to

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realizes this, if the government taxes the people and the people are forced to restrict

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their expenditure, then the prices of certain commodities and services are necessarily dropping

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because there is a smaller demand for them than was before.

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On the other hand, the government appears now on the market with the money collected

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and the prices of those commodities and services which the government wants to buy and buys

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in order to spend certain things are going up. By and large, the average prices do not

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change. This is only an approximate statement but for our purposes it is sufficient. Therefore,

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The purchasing power of the monetary unit by and large remains the same.

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But if the government prints the additional money, the situation is quite different.

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This is the situation which people have in mind when they are speaking about inflation.

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The government appears on the market with a newly created quantity of money, created

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specially for this purpose, to buy.

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And the quantity of commodities and services didn't change.

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Therefore, the result of this government printing of additional money and spending this money

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Money on the market means a tendency for prices to go up, and there is a different situation

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now.

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If the government had taxed the people, the taxpayers would have been forced to restrict

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They are not forced to restrict their buying on the market immediately enough because the

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government didn't take away the money.

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And so we have now on the one hand higher prices paid by those people to whom the government

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gives the money.

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Let us assume that these are government employees. Certain government employees who do not discuss

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the problem, whether it was necessary or not necessary to improve their situation. This

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is quite a different thing. But the fact is that these government employees or people

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who are getting money from the government for some other reasons, that these people

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are now in a position to pay more, to offer higher prices on the market and there is nobody

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on the market who is forced to restrict this expenditure and whose behavior brings about

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without a drop in prices, and then this drop would be compensated by the opposite tendency

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emanating from the higher pay of the government.

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And this is the situation of inflation, and this is all the wisdom of the governments.

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I can say in all the periods of history, but in the period of history in which we are living.

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This is inflation.

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This is precisely this inflation, this is a word newly created when these things appear

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There is, from the point of view of government finance and public finance and general finance,

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there is no possibility to avoid a tendency to add higher prices when the quantity of

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money is increased.

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It could only be avoided if this increasing of the quantity of money were compensated by

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something else.

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For instance, in the 19th century, there happened several times that with improvement of geographical

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knowledge and the increase in traveling, the people discovered new sources of gold production.

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The gold production increased and for instance, in the middle of the 19th century, there was

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There was such an increase once in California and there was at another time such an increase

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in Australia for a definite period, a new quantity of gold above the regular yearly

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increase in the production of gold was flowing into the market.

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And this brought about higher prices, this was, if you want to call it inflation, we

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use another term in order not to confuse the things, but it brought about similar effects.

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That means the people who were happy enough to meet the first arrivals in California and

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I found that gold quantities, these people, they are appearing on the market with additional

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gold, new gold in this world, and they bought many things in a very short time.

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Some places in California who had been simply in the uncultivated zone became equipped with

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many things which in the west were known before.

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The people in these countries, in these districts of Australia and California had at that time

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a similar experience, similar to the conditions of inflation, but this was a limited problem.

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It was limited because the quantities, the additional quantities were very soon integrated

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into the whole system of monetary problems and there were no further increases in the

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quantity of money.

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But this is different if the increase in money is simply an effect of the printing on the

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part of the government.

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The government prints.

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The government may declare never again, but who is the government?

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In the best case, it's the present chief of the government.

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And tomorrow, there will perhaps be another man in the government, or the same man will

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say, I said this under different conditions.

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of Change.

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It seems now to be necessary to increase the quantity of money.

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Why?

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Because next month there are elections, and such in this way one must say.

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Some people tell us how silly to take this yellow metal as money and so on and so on.

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Why are you in favor of the gold standard, they say?

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My answer is because you who are asking this question, because you can print money, but

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The answer is the gold standard is an accident, a geological accident, I would say, that there

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is such a limited quantity only available that we can deal with it as much.

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Perhaps, I don't know it, nobody knows it, perhaps one day people will discover a method

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of producing gold out of nothing, out of not-gold, that is, saying, if this will happen, the

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people who will live at that time will have a problem today.

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But we today have another problem. Our problem is not to increase the quantity of money, not

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to make inflation. You know, inflation, this is like all... I don't want to say that

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Inflation is a bias, I don't take these methods of talking serious and so on, but seriously

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there is one thing with inflation.

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You cannot tell today, later or not, tomorrow or today after tomorrow, people in the government

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will not be prepared to inflate for some reason, they will have some excuse, they will say

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inflation is bad, never should be a question of inflation and then they say yes but we

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didn't take into account the conditions of an important war, really this is, they didn't

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And then, they are increasing the quantity of money.

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And then it happened again and again in the history that inflation was continued up to

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to the point in which the purchasing power of the monetary unit reached the zero point.

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This has nothing to do with the problem of the cause for which people did the inflation.

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Let us now talk about historical problems. It happened again and again in the history

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of mankind in the last 200 years, not earlier times, that people went inflating, that means

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In modern methods of inflation, that means imprinting paper money so far that they finally

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reach the zero point.

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This happened, for instance, with the so-called continental currency and the War of the American

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Revolution in 1781 and so on.

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It was a very desirable experience for some people, but don't forget, at that time, at

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the end of the 18th century, the people of America, the colonists of America, the colonists

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of the North American colonists that revolted against England, were an agricultural people.

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More or less everybody was connected with agriculture and he didn't buy the food, he didn't buy

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other things.

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The food, this is something that you ask to your wife, where is our food, if we had to,

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but it is not the problem of going to the market.

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And therefore the impression which this left and the whole problem was of minor importance

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only for the Americans at the end of the Revolutionary War.

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I mention it only because I assume that you are very well familiar with the financial

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History of the American Revolution. But it happened again and again in other countries.

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Later and later, at the time, when everybody, more or less, was living in money economy.

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and you should not believe that the whole thing is inflationary, that this is a vice of our

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There is a very bad general tendency of historians or pseudo-historians to ascribe all virtues

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to the past generations and all vices to those living today.

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I would be very unhappy if you were to believe that what I wanted to say is that all ages

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were very virtuous, but only since the invention of the printing press, they have developed

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a paper money.

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There were already inflationists in the ages, long, long before the printing press.

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I can't give you all historical examples.

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I want only to advise you if you want to study this problem.

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There are many important cities, also in the United States, but still more natural in Europe.

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There are historical museums in which you find the coins of the past collected and you

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can look at these coins from various points of view, mostly people look at it from the

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from the point of view of aesthetics, but you could also look at it from the point of

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view of the history of not of coins but of money.

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And then you will discover that for instance in the second century after Christ, the Roman

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emperors were already very efficient in making inflation, only, imagine, inflation of a very

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by different kind, which was not called inflation, developed only later, they didn't have the

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printing press.

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And people in general believe that most of the vices of mankind developed only with development

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of Modern Methods of Production. Now, the printing press is certainly a modern method,

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but the method of using money for such purposes as the inflationists of our days are using

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it was already known and practiced by the Roman emperors of the second century after

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only that they had other methods, they had only hard money, silver coins, and their method

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was, there was no question of printing, the question was of admixing a little bit copper

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to the silver and to more and more, and under the assumption that the people, that the masses,

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that the people will be stupid enough not to see it.

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At the beginning, really they didn't see it, but more and more and then the governments

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became more aggressive, let us say, and they took more and more copper and the colors changed.

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You know, when you add copper to silver, there's a tendency for the color to change a little

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bit.

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And this is some, this was too much for the people, you know.

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And you had this story of dealing with silver coins and mixing copper, you had this as a

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method of government finance even in the modern ages before the development of the printing

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press in the field of the production of money.

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What I want to say is, and this is, I think it must be known by everybody is this, increasing

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the quantity of money is not the same as increasing the quantity of money.

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Therefore, to use the term supply of money is already very dangerous, very dangerous.

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Because you have a lot of people who consider themselves as specialists in monetary problems,

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who are using this term supply of money and say, the supply of other things increases,

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Why should not the supply of money increase too?

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And there is one specialist says every year 2%

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Another specialist says every year 3%

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There is no limit to such progress

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And really we have professors who are discussing

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Should the yearly increase of money be 2% or 3% or 5% or what else?

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If the money is made by mortal men who have the great facility of a printing press, then

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And this is a very dangerous way of formulating the problems.

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Every kind of question dealing with the problem of the supply of money can be answered and

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is answered from the point of view of, from the personal point of view of the people who

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have to answer this.

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If people have debt, then they are in favor of what has been called a light monetary unit.

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If people are expecting that the additional quantities of money, the creation of which

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they are suggesting, will first come to the group of people to which they are belonging,

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It is absolutely out of question to leave the decision where the quantity of money should

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be increased by 1% or by 1000% to leave this to the people or to the government or to any

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specialist and so on.

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What this means has been again and again demonstrated by history.

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There were, if you look at the history of the last 50 years, you will find that in almost

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all countries of the world inflation went far beyond the proposals and ideas, even of

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If we want to have money, it must be something that cannot be increased with a profit by anybody,

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with the government or citizens and so on.

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And the worst faking of money, the worst things that were done to money,

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were not done by criminals, but it was done by governments, which by and large very often

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could be considered as ignoramuses, but not as criminals.

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We had the people who were living in the period of between 1900, that is 1920 and 1950, had

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A dozen times this experience in various countries of the world.

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People will say, oh, this may be the effect of bad monetary policies, but we are in favor

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The problem is not what a man who has no power and no influence and no possibility to increase

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the quantity of money or to derive any advantage from the increase of money may say.

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These people don't come.

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This is a pure theory, a very abstract theory if you say if I were the head of the government

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I would only increase every year the quantity of money by X percent, not more, only X percent

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and I will say three percent and not more.

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And what will you say if the people elected will add one percent today and the second

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percent tomorrow and so on?

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Specifically, we cannot have a system of money, which the decision is left to the people who derive.
